Wrap rules around every investment – whether it’s Kraft Heinz, Coca Cola, or Bitcoin. What’s your buy rule? What’s your sell rule? #InvestingWisdom

We discuss the essential rules every investor should have when managing their portfolio. From establishing buy and sell rules to questioning the rationale behind your investments, you’ll learn the critical dos and don’ts of smart investing.
– The importance of having rules for every investment.
– Being agnostic about investment choices.
– Setting buy and sell rules for every asset.
– The fallacy of following others’ investment choices.
– Critical thinking about who you take investment advice from.

➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts:
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-real-investment-show-podcast/id1271435757

➢ Watch Live

When you have a high-earning husband and a wife who never worked, the husband should claim his benefit at FRA, not age 70. The rationale—assuming both spouses are the same age—is that if he waits until age 70 to claim his benefit, she must also wait until she is 70 to claim her spousal benefit.

Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Dany Ratliff, CFP
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
——-
Articles mentioned in this report:
"Stimulus Today Costs Dearly Tomorrow"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stimulus-today-costs-dearly-tomorrow/
"Moving Average Crossovers Suggest The Bull Is Back"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/moving-average-crossovers-suggest-the-bull-is-back/
"Equities Bounce Back Ending The April Correction"

Let’s weigh both sides for an even balance. Discussing negatives and positives, economic data, and market trends is crucial for understanding the full picture. #balancedviewpoints

Lance Roberts dives into the essentials of balancing perspectives for market success. Gain insights on navigating both positive and negative market indicators effectively.

– Importance of weighing both sides of market perspectives
– Discussion on negative economic data
– Analysis of positive market trends
– Maintaining an even balance in market understanding
– Emphasis on paying attention to market activities

➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts:
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-real-investment-show-podcast/id1271435757

➢ Watch Live Mon-Fri, 6a-7a Central on our Youtube Channel:

Markets hit all-time highs with softer CPI: The biggest contributor was decline in Homeowners’ Equivalent Rent. Markets are now anticipating two rate cuts this year. Consumers are showing signs of weakening; hardest hit are Gen-Z & Millennials. Stocks & Bonds rally on weaker CPI; markets are extremely over bought. Look for a re-test of the 50-DMA with market corrective action anticipated. WalMart has decent earnings; consumer spending is what drives the economy. Quality of Employment numbers matter: Full Time vs Part Time Jobs; Why the Government’s Employment formula is bogus. How we calculate Inflation now (also bogus). The Risk is never zero. Answering emails: When will the market crash? Being out of the market; more money is lost trying to avoid a crash than is lost during a crash.

📉 Bitcoin’s market behavior is puzzling experts as rally stalls despite meme stocks resurgence and ETF launches. What will be the next driving force? 🤔 #Bitcoin #MarketTrends

Lance Roberts discusses the recent trends in bitcoin and the reasons behind its fluctuating market behavior. Tune in to understand the forces at play in the world of cryptocurrency.

– Meme stock resurgence and bitcoin’s lack of rally
– Impact of ETF launches on bitcoin demand
– The cooling off of bitcoin post-ETF launches
– The absence of fundamental reasons behind bitcoin’s price movements
– Speculation on potential future drivers for bitcoin

➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts:
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-real-investment-show-podcast/id1271435757

➢ Watch Live Mon-Fri, 6a-7a Central on our

CPI Preview & PPI review; markets closed higher Tuesday thanks to downward revisions to previous PPI print & Jerome Powell comments. Markets remain overbought, which may limit upside. CPI will be The Market Driver. Signs of a slowing economy: Increased credit card usage. AI is now capable of creating original, royalty-free music for online streaming. What will be the impact? No need for musicians/performing artists? Now AI is experimenting with "NSFW" content; it’s the dark side of tech. How high can Bitcoin go? The problem with cybercurrency is determining its intrinsic value. (The problem with proforma numbers) The Bitcoin proposition is all about supply & demand. What is the next driver? What happens when "Fed Coin" comes? Howe to deal with Bitcoin volatility? Bitcoin regulation to

In Jan 2022, a sell signal was issued in the risk range report advising caution. Shaded areas indicate sell signals, while no shading means stay in stocks for S&P 500. #StockMarket #Investing

In this crucial update, Lance Roberts discusses the significance of the sell signal issued in January 2022, guiding viewers through the pivotal moments to sell or hold stocks. Using the S&P 500 as a reference, he breaks down how to navigate market signals effectively.
– Understand the significance of the January 2022 sell signal.
– Learn how to interpret the risk range reports for better investment decisions.
– Discover the impact of these sell signals on the S&P 500’s performance.
– Analyze the use of shaded areas in charts to indicate high-risk periods.
– Gain insights on when to be in or

Roaring Kitty is back with resurgence of GameStop stock; the insanity returns. Jerome Powell already knows the CPI numbers for tomorrow: What are markets expecting vs what he will say? Citi Surprise Index showing more signs of economic weakness; evidence the consumer is slowing down. Markets flopped around Monday but earned another green candle. We’re expecting a pullback to test the 50-DMA; there is risk in economic data from the lag effect. Markets typically lead the economy by 6 to 9-months. More Coffee talk, living in Europe, and why we don’t invest internationally (where can you make the most money?) NFIB Report preview: Shop local small businesses. The folly of tapping 401-k funds. The backlash against "wealthy" Boomers; living on cash.

3:12 – Roaring Kitty & Market Expectations

2022 brought a new theme: generative AI. Expectations are high for trillions of dollars in opportunities. Private equity is eager to fund AI deals, as the industry booms. #AI #Opportunity

Description: Discover the burgeoning world of generative AI with Lance Roberts and explore the trillion-dollar opportunities it presents. In this video, Lance delves into why generative AI is the latest magnet for private equity investments.

– Understand what generative AI is and its potential economic impact.
– Learn about the surge in private equity investments in AI ventures.
– Discover why generative AI has become a focal point for investors.
– Explore the challenge of the limited number of AI deals available.
– Know what attracts private equity to generative AI projects specifically.

Markets’ bullish trend continues; no reason to be sitting in cash now. Economic data is proving to be a mixed bag. Consumers’ creativity for accessing funds they shouldn’t be touching for continued spending. Markets are back to overbought; wait for a pullback to add exposure. What’s moving markets: The Fed or AI? When the Fed supplies liquidity, fundamentals take second chair. Fundamentals, however, will save you in a market downturn. Will AI be a game changer? "Ready Player One" is the ultimate outcome of AI. There are now emerging energy concerns for powering AI. Imperative to know what narratives are driving markets to best plan investing strategy. Earnings are a function of economic growth: S&P growth to slow as company earnings slow. Stock buybacks are used to engineer better

Positive news on Social Security funds as the negative balance shrank. Benefits could be cut by 20-23%, but raising retirement age and removing the cap may help. #SocialSecurity #RetirementAge #positivenews

In this important discussion, we dive into the current state of financial funds and the outlook for Social Security. They explore potential reforms and the realistic impacts of these changes on benefits.
– Evaluation of the recent shrinkage in the negative actuarial balance of combined funds.
– The potential crisis in fund sustainability and its postponed timeline.
– Estimated reduction in benefits during a potential crisis, with figures ranging between 20% and 23%.
– The effect of various reports and analyses from different tax groups and agencies on these numbers.
– Proposed

Earnings preview & economic reports: The wisdom of writing a market journal. Will markets produce an 8th day of gains? Current trading strategioes; the animal spirits are shifting. Soupy Sales’ ‘Send a Dollar;’ CEO Neutrality, getting back to the basics of business. Will Social Security last past 2035? There are some surprising, positive notes in the latest SS Trustees’ report. Why we run financial plans without SS. Financial Dust-bunnies: Medicare Lunch & Learn; why the big push for Medicare Advantage? (Because that’s what pays brokers the most.) Crafting retirement income is an art: Is the 4% Rule too safe? There is no set number: There are too many variables. "The Woods" retirement plan; the Annuities discussion; protecting against emotional decisions.

3:13 – Will Markets Produce an

Did you know that all the earnings growth in the S&P 500 is mainly driven by just seven stocks? Check out the eye-opening chart shared on Twitter this morning. #StockMarket #EarningsGrowth

Join Lance Roberts as he jumps into the intriguing world of earnings growth among top stocks. Discover how the performance of just a few companies is shaping the overall market landscape.
– Explore the impact of the "magnificent seven" stocks on overall earnings growth.
– Understanding the true state of earnings growth since Q4 2022.
– Identifying the seven stocks driving market earnings.
– Analyzing the consequences of removing top performers from financial calculations.
– Insights into the overall health of the stock market without its top earners.

➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts:

Todd Combs, a member of the Berkshire Hathaway portfolio management team, is responsible for bringing Apple to Warren Buffett’s attention. However, not all credit goes to Combs. Buffett presented Combs with a challenge that ultimately highlighted Apple’s value proposition. With this same challenge, we will take a stab at finding the next Apple.

Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Articles mentioned in this report:
"Economic Stagflation – Myth Or Reality?"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
"Stock Rally As Powell Sparks A Buying Frenzy"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stock-rally-as-powell-sparks-a-buying-frenzy/
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REGISTER for our next

Are additional fees becoming the norm? Businesses pushing for cashless transactions may result in more costs for consumers. #fees #cashless #businesses

Description: Explore the realities of a cashless society in today’s episode where we unpack the impact of rising fees on consumers. We bring to light the hidden costs and challenges associated with digital transactions.
– Understanding the shift towards a cashless economy
– The reasons businesses are adopting cashless operations
– How going cashless is increasing consumer costs
– The financial burden of additional fees in digital transactions
– Discussing potential consumer responses to rising expenses in a cashless society

➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts:

The Citi Surprise Index: When economists are disappointed in estimated numbers; that index is now at a low ebb. An uneventful earnings season is wrapping up with fair results; the only companies seeing margins grow are large caps. Markets eke out gains for 4th straight day; the benefits of a market pullback; CTA’s have money to spend, plus resumption of stock buy backs. Old Shows & Actors; the great un-bundling of fee has created fees on fees; tipping & charges-per-squirt(!): Budget leakage. Buying Made in USA. AI Golf robots, Robocop, & Skynet; the worst financial mistake some families make: Living on a single paycheck. Balancing the equation with a stay-at-home parent; dealing with the skills gap; the impact of rising childcare costs, and what caused it (gov’t. stimulus). Planning for

From 100% expectations of a recession to now nobody expecting one. Will this mindset shift set the economy up for a recession? #economy #recession

Lance Roberts delves into the current economic climate and the likelihood of facing a recession. Discover why the unexpected may be just around the corner despite widespread confidence in the economy.

– Examining the economic predictions made back in 2022
– Understanding why no one anticipates a recession in the current year
– Exploring the pattern of expectations vs. reality in economic trends
– Discussing the necessity of a "shock effect" for economic changes
– Analyzing the potential setup for an unanticipated recession

➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts:

Economists’ ‘rush-to-judgement’ vs the lag effect catching up w economic data. Consumer spending and loan demand are waning as excesses in money supply are normalizing. The data re beginning to refute the "no recession" theme. Market correction is now over, bullish trend to resume. The challenge of NOT expecting recession; what the data is starting to show; not a lot of risk in credit markets…yet. That’s where trouble will show up first. Geopolitical conflicts do mot matter to markets for long; world wars do. Spreads between corporate bonds vs treasuries are at an all time low (90bp). There’s no stress in the economy…so far; pay attention to credit risk. 20th Anniversary of 2008 Financial Crisis is approaching. Letters from the IRS and a $34-B tax bill; the rich need to pay their

Strong economic growth in the 60s and 70s led to higher inflation rates. Current data doesn’t show stagflation, but concerns persist. GDP fell to 1.6 on a real basis. #EconomicInsights #Inflation #GDP

Description: Join Lance Roberts as he delves into the complex relationship between economic growth and inflation. Understand the current economic dynamics and dispel the myths surrounding stagflation.
– Explanation of how inflation correlates with economic growth
– Analysis of current economic data to assess the presence of stagflation
– Discussion on public concern and media coverage of stagflation
– Insights into the impact of GDP and PCE price index figures
– Evaluation of investment strategies in relation to economic conditions

➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts:

Over the last few weeks, the term “economic stagflation,” or just stagflation, has buzzed in the financial markets and media. economic “stagflation” is a complex economic phenomenon with significant implications for investors and the broader economy. As Taylor Sohns recently noted: “t’s a bit like having a skunk in your backyard – an unpleasant situation that’s hard to manage.” However, to understand economic stagflation, we need a precise definition. “Stagflation is an economic cycle characterized by slow [economic] growth and a high unemployment rate accompanied by inflation.” – nvestopedia.
Economic stagflation is a rare economic phenomenon that is difficult for policymakers to handle as attempting to correct one issue tends to exacerbate the others.

Hosted by RA Advisors Chief

Volatility in the market! Nasdaq futures up 7% overnight. Waiting on the Fed’s next move. Stay tuned for more updates! #stockmarket #Fed #volatility

Join us as we unpack a thrilling week in the markets with a specific focus on the Nasdaq futures. Dive into the details of market volatility, rate speculations, and investor sentiments.

– Explore the significant surge in Nasdaq futures, with Apple stocks up by 7% overnight.
– Understand the market’s reaction to Federal Reserve’s recent announcements regarding interest rates.
– Discuss the decreased likelihood of a rate cut and what it means for investors.
– Analyze the importance of upcoming Federal Reserve meeting minutes and their potential impact.
– Examine the current market sentiment and future expectations concerning rate cuts

Apple’s results + the Biggest Buyback Ever: Are iPhones becoming a high-tech toaster? Labor/Jobs Report preview; what the Fed may do. t is surprising the market is now down more than 5%. This has been a government-driven economy. Janet Yellen is a Marxist. Who will win the tax cut battle? We’ll all lose. t’s apsneding problem, not a revenue problem. Why are taxing lines drawn at $400k? The life of a WalMart manager; tax dollars go to waste. New Department of Valuations. Next Lunch & Learn preview: Medicare. Are advisors giving conflicting advice on Social Security? No one wants to address Medicare; get a second opinion before taking SS early. The surge in interest in annuities; Gen-Z would rather have insurance than stocks: Stable income from annuities. Gen-Z living frugally: The

The Fed is trying to navigate ahead of a potential recession by managing inflation. Will they succeed in creating a "Goldilocks economy”? #Fed #Inflation #Economy

In this insightful video, Michael Lebowitz discusses the Federal Reserve’s current challenge in balancing economic growth and inflation. Uncover the subtle maneuvers the Fed believes could maintain a ‘Goldilocks economy’ amidst various hidden economic signals.
– Examining the Fed’s desire to avoid both recession and high inflation.
– The concept of a Goldilocks economy and its feasibility.
– Indicators that suggest the economy may not be as robust as perceived.
– The impact of the real rate of Federal funds on the economy.
– Strategies the Fed might use to manage economic conditions without triggering inflationary

Market volatility returns amid earnings season, with McDonald’s, KFC, and Starbuck’s reporting weak earnings, suggesting tru impact of inflation on consumers, wjho are becoming more price-conscious. Markets perform a pump & dump on Wedesnday, with stock retesting the 20-DMA…and failing. Pelaton earnings disappoint; the Fed holds rates steady; everything is fine, but they’re not cutting rates. Discussion of what this means for markets, liquidity, and reduction of Fed balance sheet. The Treasury’s Bond Strategy. Peloton Drama: CEO Exit; what the Fed said; markets have already priced-in the plan. The Fed sees the economy is gradually slwoing, and wants to get ahead of recession. Underlying data is weaker than headline numbers. Powell says, "no stag, no flation." Apple earnings preview,

Having cash on hand allows for seizing great opportunities. Wise investing involves careful consideration, not reckless decisions. #financialwisdom

In this video, Lance Roberts delves into the strategic value of maintaining a cash reserve. Discover why holding cash can be a critical element in savvy investing practices.

– Understand the importance of having liquidity in your investment strategy.
– Learn how cash reserves give you the flexibility to act on unexpected opportunities.
– Find out why thorough analysis and patience are crucial before investing.
– Hear why impulsively investing can be detrimental to your financial health.
– Get professional insights on managing your capital wisely in a fluctuating market.

➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts:

Fed Day brings dovish expectations; so far, so good in current earnings season. Economic data is all over the board; Europe emerges from Recession. Taxes to increase; tax flight is inevitable. Market correction continues; can it hold support at 100-DMA? A 10% correction would be normal. Earnings recap (so far) Amazon, CVS/Healthcare: Baby Boomers’ elective surgeries are impacting insurors’ actuarial tables; the rash of retirees. AMD disappoints because their report was on-target, not better-than-expected. Overall, a mixed-bag of results. What happens when companies miss? META: Is the ‘Metaverse’ fading? Lance’s Bitcoin commentary. Fed meeting preview: Inflation proving stickier than expected. Will the Fed hike rates? Ho the Fed communicates to markets: Different speakers’ different takes

Market update: Corporations are returning to buy equities after a $367 billion drop in share buybacks led to a 5.5% market correction. CEO confidence is improving, leading to increased buybacks. Google recently announced a $70 billion buyback. #investing #marketupdate

In this insightful piece, host Lance Roberts discusses the recent trends in the equity markets and the expected rebound. Dive into the dynamics of corporate buybacks and CEO confidence influencing market movements.
– Explanation of the recent 5.5% market correction
– Discussion on the role of corporations returning to the equity market
– Analysis of the impact of improving earnings on equity buying
– Insight into how CEO confidence correlates with financial strategies
– Exploration of trends in net buybacks based on

Over the last two weeks, the bullish sentiment index has reversed from extreme greed to fear. While the index can indeed fall further, what is notable is the sharp reversal of market “exuberance” in such a short span. It would be unsurprising if the market failed this initial resistance test and ultimately retested the 100-DMA soon. Such a pullback would solidify that support and complete the reversal of the bullish sentiment index.

Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jon Penn, CFA
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
——-
Articles mentioned in this report:
"Bullish Sentiment Index Reverses With Buybacks Resuming"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-sentiment-index-reverses-with-buybacks-resuming/
"Sucker

CEO confidence and earnings drive buybacks, supporting stocks. Rebalancing risk advised to weather correction. Shorting market risky due to quick turns." #StockMarket #Investing #RiskManagement 📈📉

In today’s financial insight, Lance Roberts dives deep into the factors currently supporting the stock market. Discover key strategies to navigate potential market fluctuations and optimize your investment portfolio.

– Understand the critical role of buybacks in market dynamics.
– Explore how 100% of net market purchases are tied to buybacks.
– Learn about the impact of excess liquidity in the TGA account.
– Identify methods to rebalance risks and secure profits.
– Gain strategies to take advantage of market opportunities during corrections.

➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts:

Market performance in election years is marked by investor anxiety over the outcome, and the potential for outlying risk. The FOMC Meeting this week: will the Fed halt plans for cuts, and possibily even hike rates? Expectations for strong employment numbers. Markets rally on PCE report, beginning to build a new, bullish trend. This will be a busy earnings week. When the correction comes, how you will play? The liquidity boost from tax receipts in April & October. Retail sales details: Are things as strong as they seem: Paying more to buy the same. Is AI the wave of the future for cargo shipping? The AI conundrum and the future of work: What happens to all those displaced? The economic impact of AI: Shrinking middle class, expanding lower class, concentration of wealth among the