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Tag Archives: Technical analysis

Bulls Regain Control Of The Market As Fed Taper Looms 10-15-21

Print Friendly In this 10-15-21 issue of “Bulls Regain Control Of The Market As Fed Taper Looms.” Market Rallies As Earnings Season Kicks OffFOMC Minutes Confirm Fed Taper ComingNavigating UncertaintyPortfolio PositioningSector & Market Analysis401k Plan ManagerFollow Us On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud, Seeking Alpha Is It Time To Get Help With Your Investing Strategy? Whether it is complete financial, insurance, and estate planning, to a risk-managed portfolio...

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Is The Great “Bear Market” Of 2021 Finally Over? 10-08-21

Print Friendly In this 10-08-21 issue of “Is The Great ‘Bear Market’ Of 2021 Finally Over.? Is The “Great Bear Market” Finally Over?Debt Ceiling Resolution Is Only TemporaryOdds Are We’ve Seen The Highs For The YearPortfolio PositioningSector & Market Analysis401k Plan ManagerFollow Us On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud, Seeking Alpha Is It Time To Get Help With Your Investing Strategy? Whether it is complete financial, insurance, and estate planning, to a risk-managed...

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As Expected, Stocks Snap 6-Month Win Streak 10-01-21

Print Friendly In this 10-01-21 issue of “As Expected, Stocks Snap 6-Month Win Streak.“ Stocks Snap 6-Month Win Streak, What’s Next?Why We Are Buying BondsNot Out Of The Woods Just YetPortfolio PositioningSector & Market Analysis401k Plan ManagerFollow Us On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud, Seeking Alpha Is It Time To Get Help With Your Investing Strategy? Whether it is complete financial, insurance, and estate planning, to a risk-managed portfolio management strategy...

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Correction Is Over. Bulls Jump Back Into The Risk Pool 09-24-21

Print Friendly In this 09-24-21 issue of “‘Correction Is Over, Bulls Jump Back Into The Risk Pool“ Correction Is OverFed Threads The Needle On Taper.3-Signs For The Next Bear MarketPortfolio PositioningSector & Market Analysis401k Plan ManagerFollow Us On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud, Seeking Alpha Is It Time To Get Help With Your Investing Strategy? Whether it is complete financial, insurance, and estate planning, to a risk-managed portfolio management strategy to...

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The Evergrande panic bottom?

Mid-week market update: The stock market gapped down on Monday on China Evergrande contagion fears. The technical outlook darkened further Tuesday when a rally attempt failed. The markets took on a risk-on tone this morning when Evergrande issued an ambiguous statement that a coupon due on its yuan-denominated bond. An agreement had been reached with its lenders but the statement didn’t specify the nature of the payment, or when it would be paid.   While today’s rally is constructive for...

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How US equity investors should trade the Evergrande panic

Global markets have taken a decided risk-off tone today. The spark is the China Evergrande implosion. Fears are rising that Evergrande is turning from a liquidity crisis in which the company doesn’t have enough cash to pay its obligations, to a solvency crisis in which the company’s assets are less than its liabilities if it is forced to fire-sale its properties.  In the US, the S&P 500 had been largely immune to Evergrande news until today. The index decisively violated its 50...

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A correction in time?

Preface: Explaining our market timing models  We maintain several market timing models, each with differing time horizons. The “Ultimate Market Timing Model” is a long-term market timing model based on the research outlined in our post, Building the ultimate market timing model. This model tends to generate only a handful of signals each decade. The Trend Asset Allocation Model is an asset allocation model that applies trend following principles based on the inputs of global stock and...

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Investors Fail To “BTFD” As They Await Fed “Taper.” 09-17-21

Print Friendly In this 09-17-21 issue of “‘Investors Fail To BTFD As They Await Fed Taper.“ Investors Fail To BTFDThe Slope Of HopeA Reason The Fed Can’t Taper…YetPortfolio PositioningSector & Market Analysis401k Plan ManagerFollow Us On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud, Seeking Alpha Is It Time To Get Help With Your Investing Strategy? Whether it is complete financial, insurance, and estate planning, to a risk-managed portfolio management strategy to grow and protect...

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Another test of the 50 dma

Mid-week market update: As the S&P 500 revisits the area around its 50 dma, will the weakness persist or will it be halted? The index has found good support at the 50 dma all of this year. Equally constructive is the bull flag pattern being traced out by the S&P 500, though the index hasn’t staged an upside breakout through the flag yet.  Bespoke pointed out that the most recent losing streak is just the seventh time since the GFC that the S&P 500 closed at a record high...

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Breadth can show the way

Preface: Explaining our market timing models  We maintain several market timing models, each with differing time horizons. The “Ultimate Market Timing Model” is a long-term market timing model based on the research outlined in our post, Building the ultimate market timing model. This model tends to generate only a handful of signals each decade. The Trend Asset Allocation Model is an asset allocation model that applies trend following principles based on the inputs of global stock and...

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