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Tag Archives: sentiment analysis

How to energize returns even as momentum fades

Trend Model signal summary Trend Model signal: Neutral Trading model: BullishThe Trend Model is an asset allocation model which applies trend following principles based on the inputs of global stock and commodity price. In essence, it seeks to answer the question, "Is the trend in the global economy expansion (bullish) or contraction (bearish)?"My inner trader uses the trading model component of the Trend Model seeks to answer the question, "Is the trend getting better (bullish) or worse...

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Momentum = Risk-on!

Trend Model signal summary Trend Model signal: Neutral Trading model: BullishThe Trend Model is an asset allocation model which applies trend following principles based on the inputs of global stock and commodity price. In essence, it seeks to answer the question, "Is the trend in the global economy expansion (bullish) or contraction (bearish)?"My inner trader uses the trading model component of the Trend Model seeks to answer the question, "Is the trend getting better (bullish) or worse...

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A “What’s-the-credit-limit-on-my-VISA-card” buy signal

Trend Model signal summary Trend Model signal: Neutral (upgrade) Trading model: BullishThe Trend Model is an asset allocation model which applies trend following principles based on the inputs of global stock and commodity price. In essence, it seeks to answer the question, "Is the trend in the global economy expansion (bullish) or contraction (bearish)?"My inner trader uses the trading model component of the Trend Model seeks to answer the question, "Is the trend getting better (bullish) or...

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Sold in May, ______ in October

Trend Model signal summary Trend Model signal: Risk-off Trading model: BullishThe Trend Model is an asset allocation model which applies trend following principles based on the inputs of global stock and commodity price. In essence, it seeks to answer the question, "Is the trend in the global economy expansion (bullish) or contraction (bearish)?"My inner trader uses the trading model component of the Trend Model seeks to answer the question, "Is the trend getting better (bullish) or worse...

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A choppy bottom

Trend Model signal summary Trend Model signal: Risk-off Trading model: Bullish (upgrade)The Trend Model is an asset allocation model which applies trend following principles based on the inputs of global stock and commodity price. In essence, it seeks to answer the question, "Is the trend in the global economy expansion (bullish) or contraction (bearish)?"My inner trader uses the trading model component of the Trend Model seeks to answer the question, "Is the trend getting better (bullish) or...

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Why this is not the start of a bear market

I have received a fair amount of feedback, mostly from technicians and chartists, on my view that the idea that downside risk on stock prices is limited and this is not the beginning of a major bear market. I want to clarify my views on that topic.I base my market analysis on different dimensions of analysis, which are summarized as follows:Technical analysis: The stock market has suffered much technical damage, which can be resolved with another leg down, or a sideways consolidation. Trend...

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A test for the bears

Trend Model signal summary Trend Model signal: Risk-off Trading model: Bearish (downgrade)The Trend Model is an asset allocation model which applies trend following principles based on the inputs of global stock and commodity price. In essence, it seeks to answer the question, "Is the trend in the global economy expansion (bullish) or contraction (bearish)?"My inner trader uses the trading model component of the Trend Model seeks to answer the question, "Is the trend getting better (bullish)...

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A V or W shaped bottom?

Trend Model signal summary Trend Model signal: Risk-off Trading model: Bullish (upgrade)The Trend Model is an asset allocation model which applies trend following principles based on the inputs of global stock and commodity price. In essence, it seeks to answer the question, "Is the trend in the global economy expansion (bullish) or contraction (bearish)?"My inner trader uses the trading model component of the Trend Model seeks to answer the question, "Is the trend getting better (bullish) or...

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Constructive on stocks, but waiting for the re-test

Trend Model signal summary Trend Model signal: Risk-off (downgrade) Trading model: Bearish (downgrade)The Trend Model is an asset allocation model which applies trend following principles based on the inputs of global stock and commodity price. In essence, it seeks to answer the question, "Is the trend in the global economy expansion (bullish) or contraction (bearish)?"My inner trader uses the trading model component of the Trend Model seeks to answer the question, "Is the trend getting...

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A possible, but rare bull market signal

As the stock market is in bounce mode since the market bottom last week, a rare but powerful bull market signal may be brewing. I am indebted to Walter Murphy who tweeted a possible setup for a Zweig Breadth Thrust buy signal last week: The Zweig Breadth Thrust is sort of an IBD follow-through day pattern, but on steroids. Steven Achelis at Metastock explained the indicator this way (emphasis added): A "Breadth Thrust" occurs when, during a 10-day period, the Breadth Thrust indicator rises...

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