Saturday , December 7 2019
Home / Tag Archives: Market Sentiment (page 2)

Tag Archives: Market Sentiment

“You Are Here”: Citi’s Stunning VIX Chart

Something snapped in the VIX complex, seconds after Friday's early close, sending it to a new record low of 8.56 at 13:00:14 ET... ... which as we showed yesterday, was less than 10% of the all time VIX high of 89.53, hit on October 24, 2008. However, while the Friday VIX snap - which is still on the feeds and thus wasn't a fat finger error - is yet another indication of just how broken, and/or how overrun by vol sellers the market is, below we present two even more striking, longer-term...

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Running “The Program”

Authored Sven Henrich via NorthmanTrader.com, As the dips keep getting shallower and shallower and market projections get more bullish by the day (see Goldman’s capitulation today) the running volatility compression program continues to be the cornerstone of market gains. Just last week we got another taste of the precision with which the program is run: $VIX: Trend line rejection. Perfection.KILLER chart and has been for 2 years.Long time followers know what I'm talking about....

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Art market send important signal to stocks yesterday?

Activity in the art/collectible markets yesterday caught my attention.  A once-lost portrait of Christ by the iconic Renaissance man Leonardo da Vinci sold Wednesday at auction for $450 million, roughly triple its anticipated price and the most ever paid for a creative work of human genius. Bloomberg reported that the largest known fancy intense pink diamond went unsold at Sotheby’s on Wednesday amid jitters in the final round of the Geneva fall auction season....

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Summing Up 2017 In Two Record-Breaking Charts

Via LPLResearch.com, What can we say about 2017 that hasn’t been said already, as it continues to smash records? Per Ryan Detrick, Senior Market Strategist, “2017 will likely be remembered for two things: a persistent bullish trend and historically low volatility.” In fact, here are two more records that prove that point. The Nasdaq has never made more all-time highs than the 63 it has made (so far) this calendar year, topping the previous record of 62 set in 1980....

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Global Macro ‘Reality’ – The Hopium Vs Doomium Model Explained

Authored by Peter Tchir via Academy Securities, When Reality and Sentiment Diverge The Hopium versus Doomium Model We are initiating the Hopium vs. Doomium model today.  I first came across the word Hopium in the aftermath of the financial crisis.  It was typically used by ‘doomers’ who believed markets were far ahead of themselves and were betting on hope rather than reality. This model attempts to pit what I view as reality versus what view as sentiment.  The...

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Global Asset Allocation Update

The risk budget this month shifts slightly as we add cash to the portfolio. For the moderate risk investor the allocation to bonds is unchanged at 50%, risk assets are reduced to 45% and cash is raised to 5%. The changes this month are modest and may prove temporary but I felt a move to reduce risk was prudent given signs of exuberance – rational, irrational or otherwise. No one is investing in a co-working company worth $20 billion. That doesn’t exist,” Neumann says....

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First A.I. ETF Claims It Can Replace An Army Of Research Analysts

“Look Dave, I can see you’re really upset about this. I honestly think you ought to sit down calmly, take a stress pill and think things over.”   From Stanley Kubrick’s 2001: A Space Odyssey. As if MiFID II wasn’t bad enough, now this “EquBot AI Technology with Watson has the ability to mimic an army of equity research analysts working around the clock, 365 days a year, while removing human error and bias from the process.” That is the claim of...

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Gold & Silver- Desperately need this to hold!

Below looks at the Silver/Gold ratio over the past 30-years. Metals bulls (both Gold & Silver) want to see the ratio moving higher, to send a quality bullish message to both. The ratio has spent the majority of the past 30-years inside of rising channel (1). When the ratio hit the top of the long-term rising channel back in 2011, the ratio put in a large bearish reversal pattern at (A). This is where both Gold & Silver both started turning weak. CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE...

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It’s Not Just Bluster: Here’s A Surprising Way Executives Can Literally Talk Up Their Shares

As it turns out, it’s not what an executive says during a corporate earnings call that matters, it’s how much time they spend saying it. Prattle, a market-research company that recently closed a $3 million seed round, claims to have discovered a surprising correlation between the length of time executives spend speaking during a quarterly earnings call, and the performance of a company’s stock over the short- and long term, MarketWatch reports. The company’s co-founder...

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Bi-Weekly Economic Review: Maximum Optimism?

The economic reports of the last two weeks were generally of a more positive tone. The majority of reports were better than expected although it must be noted that many of those reports were of the sentiment variety, reflecting optimism about the future that may or may not prove warranted. Markets have certainly responded to the dreams of tax reform dancing in investors’ heads with US stock markets providing a steady stream of all time highs, bond yields rising and the dollar coming...

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