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Tag Archives: Lance Roberts

Bear Markets: Understand Them, Don’t Fear Them 06-14-19

Is The Sellable Rally Done? Some Comments On The Fed Cutting Rates Sector & Market Analysis 401k Plan Manager Follow Us On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud,Seeking Alpha Wednesday, June 26th from 12:30-1:30 pm. Review & Update This week I want to step back and talk about some misconceptions with concerning markets, cycles, and investing. However, before we get to that, let me give you a quick review and update on where we are following the “sellable rally,” we have...

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One Trick Pony: The Fed Is Pushing On A String

Last week, I discussed the Fed’s recent comments suggesting they might be closer to cutting rates and restarting “QE” than not. “In short, the proximity of interest rates to the ELB (Effective Lower Bound) has become the preeminent monetary policy challenge of our time, tainting all manner of issues with ELB risk and imbuing many old challenges with greater significance.   “Perhaps it is time to retire the term ‘unconventional’ when referring to tools that were used in the crisis. We...

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Is The “Sellable Rally” Done? 06-07-19

Is The Sellable Rally Done? Some Comments On The Fed Cutting Rates Sector & Market Analysis 401k Plan Manager Follow Us On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud,Seeking Alpha Are YOU: Age 60 and over. • Concerned about retirement health care expenses. •Recently retired, or planning to retire soon. • Wanting to understand how to begin making important Medicare decisions.  Then this “Lunch & Learn” is for you. Class size is very limited so register now Is The Sellable Rally...

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Hope For The Best, Plan For The Worst

Around 46 BC, Cicero wrote to a friend saying, “you must hope for the best.” To be happy in life we must always have “hope.” It is “hope” which is the beacon that lights the pathway from the darkness that eventually befalls everyone at one point or another in their life. However, when it comes to financial planning and investing we should consider Benjamin Disraeli’s version from “The Wondrous Tale Of Alroy:” “I am prepared for the worst, but hope for the best.”  During very late stage bull...

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Selloff Overdone, Looking For A Sellable Rally 05-31-19

Selloff Overdone, Looking For A Sellable Rally Sector & Market Analysis 401k Plan Manager Follow Us On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud,Seeking Alpha Selloff Overdone, Looking For A Sellable Rally On Friday morning, we posted the following commentary for our RIA PRO subscribers: “In a surprising move Thursday night, Donald Trump slapped Mexico with a 5 percent tariff on all goods and set in place a schedule to ratchet it up to 25% over the next four months. The new tariffs...

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The Bulls Continue To Bet On The Fed 05-24-19

Market Review & Update The Bulls Continue To Bet On The Fed Sector & Market Analysis 401k Plan Manager Follow Us On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud,Seeking Alpha Market Review & Update Over the last several weeks, we have been discussing the potential for a market correction simply due to divergences in the technical indicators which suggested near-term market risk outweighed the reward. As is generally the case, bonds have been warning the bullish bias of equity...

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10 Illustrated Truths About Investing & The Markets

Over the last eighteen months, stocks have whipsawed within a massive trading range as “trade wars,” “tariffs,” and monetary policy actions from the Fed have lit up headlines. Despite the strong rally from the beginning of the year, investors are no better off today than they were at the beginning of 2018. Does this mean the bull market is over? Or, is it just a pause before a continuation higher? Has the Federal Reserve figured out how to “end recessions?” Or, has the low interest rate...

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The 5-Laws Of Human Stupidity & How To Be A “Non-Stupid” Investor

This past weekend, I was digging through some old articles and ran across one that needed to be readdressed on “human stupidity” as it relates to investing. The background was a study done in 1976 by a professor of economic history at the University of California, Berkeley. Carol M. Cipolla published an essay outlining the fundamental laws of a force he perceived as humanity’s greatest existential threat: Stupidity. Stupid people, according to Cipolla, share several identifying traits: they...

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The Bulls Are Betting On A “Long Shot” 05-17-19

Market Review & Update Bulls Are Betting On A “Long Shot” Sector & Market Analysis 401k Plan Manager Follow Us On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud,Seeking Alpha Market Review & Update Over the last several weeks, we have been discussing the potential for a market correction simply due to divergences in the technical indicators which suggested near-term market risk outweighed the reward. Then, the White House reignited the “trade war” with China. To wit: “The “Trade...

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Technically Speaking: The Drums Of Trade War – Part Deux

In June of 2018, as the initial rounds of the “Trade War” were heating up, I wrote: “Next week, the Trump Administration will announce $50 billion in ‘tariffs’ on Chinese products. The trade war remains a risk to the markets in the short-term.” Of course, 2018 turned out to be a volatile year for investors which ended in the sell-off into Christmas Eve. As we have been writing for the last couple of weeks, the risks to the market have risen markedly as we head into the summer months. “It is a...

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