Wednesday , October 16 2019
Home / Tag Archives: investment

Tag Archives: investment

Trade Deal Done? Is 3300 The Next Stop For The Market? 10-11-19

Trade Deal Done QE, Not QE, But It’s QE Sector & Market Analysis 401k Plan Manager Follow Us On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud, Seeking Alpha Trade Deal Done On Thursday and Friday, the market surged on hopes that a “trade deal” was coming to fruition. This was not a surprise to us, as we detailed this outcome two weeks ago: “‘For Trump, he can spin a limited deal as a ‘win’ saying ‘China is caving to his tariffs’ and that he ‘will continue working to get the rest of the...

Read More »

UNLOCKED: Market Review: The Good, The Bad & The Ugly

, The Good, The Bad & The Ugly The Ugly Not Really Bad, More Okay-ish The Good Hope For More Q.E. Will It Work Next Time The Fly In The Ointment Sector & Market Analysis 401k Plan Manager Follow Us On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud, Seeking Alpha Note: we are providing the full unlocked version of the weekly newsletter. Every week, we provide detailed market, sector, and portfolio position analysis to our RIAPRO.NET subscribers.  You can try it FREE for 30-days to...

Read More »

A “Trade Deal” Is Coming As Trump Needs “Win” For Election: 09-27-19

Market Review & Update Trade Deal Before The Election Trump Looking For An Exit Would A Deal Change Anything? Bear Market Still Coming Sector & Market Analysis 401k Plan Manager Follow Us On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud, Seeking Alpha Market Review & Update Friday morning stocks rose as optimism over “trade” seemed to “trump” the ongoing antics in Washington as Democrats are once again trying to find a “smoking gun” to impeach the “Trumpster.” Then, the market...

Read More »

The Moment You Know You Know, You Know! 09-20-19

Market Review & Update The Moment You Know Sector & Market Analysis 401k Plan Manager Follow Us On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud, Seeking Alpha Market Review & Update Last week, we started our discussion by itemizing the list of all the things going “right” for the bullish narrative.  Trump easing up on tariffs and trade negotiations The ECB (European Central Bank) went “all-in” on cutting rates and launching more Q.E. The economy is showing some signs of life as...

Read More »

20/9/19: New paper: Systematic risk contagion from cyber events

Our new paper, "What the hack: Systematic risk contagion from cyber events" is now available at International Review of Financial Analysis in pre-print version here: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1057521919300274.Highlights include:We examine the impact of cybercrime and hacking events on equity market volatility across publicly traded corporations. The volatility generated due to cybercrime events is shown to be dependent on the number of clients exposed....

Read More »

Energy transition dampens appetite for Asian mega-refinery projects

Asia has been the last bastion of large oil refinery projects for years, but overcapacity in the near term and the decarbonization of transport fuels further out have raised questions over the need for more large-scale refining projects. China and the Middle East are still adding new capacity that will come online in the next three to four years. But most of these projects were approved when the global economic outlook was still robust, and the roster of new project approvals looks bleak. As...

Read More »

Has The Narrative Been All Priced In? 09-13-19

The Bullish Narrative Is It All Priced In? Sector & Market Analysis 401k Plan Manager Follow Us On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud, Seeking Alpha The Bullish Narrative This past week was built for the “bulls” as just about every item on their “wish list.” was fulfilled. From a “trade deal” to more “QE,” what more could you want? Trade Deal Near? Concerning the ongoing “trade war,” our prediction that Trump would begin to back peddle on negotiations to get a “deal done”...

Read More »

Bulls Regain The Narrative As They Want To Believe 09-06-19

Market Review & Update The Last Hoorah? They Want To Believe Sector & Market Analysis 401k Plan Manager Follow Us On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud, Seeking Alpha Market Review & Update Last week, we laid out 6-points about the market as the risk to the downside outweighed the potential reward.  Historically, September is one of the weakest months of the year, particularly when it follows a weak August. The market remains range bound and failed at both the 50-dma...

Read More »

Breaking Down The Bull/Bear Argument

Market Review & Update Breaking Down The Bull/Bear Argument Sector & Market Analysis 401k Plan Manager Follow Us On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud, Seeking Alpha Market Review & Update Really! Another week of nowhere?  This is the same chart from last week, updated, but here is the salient point. “This has been an impossible market to effectively trade as rhetoric between the White House, the Fed, and China has reached a fevered pitch.” Don’t fall into the...

Read More »

Powell Fails, Trump Rails & The Failure Of Negative Rates 08-23-19

Trump & Powell Square Off Negative Yields Everywhere Why The Fed Won’t Go Negative Sector & Market Analysis 401k Plan Manager Follow Us On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud, Seeking Alpha Trump & Powell Square Off Let’s start with a simple chart: This has been an impossible market to effectively trade as rhetoric between the White House, the Fed, and China, has reached a fevered pitch.  On Friday, several things happened which have at least temporarily significantly...

Read More »