Tuesday , April 20 2021
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Tag Archives: Investing

There Is No Way This Bull Market Doesn’t End Very Badly

Print FriendlyThere is no way this bull market doesn’t end very badly. We all know that is the reality of this liquidity-fueled market, but we keep investing for “Fear Of Missing Out.” An excellent example of investor exuberance came recently in “Investors Go All In:” “More importantly, over the past 5-MONTHS, more money has poured into the equity markets than in the last 12-YEARS combined.” If that chart alone doesn’t get your “Spidey senses” tingling, I am not sure what will. However, I...

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David Robertson: The Inflation Or Disinflation Debate Continues

Print FriendlyInflation or Disinflation? Several positive developments over the last several months have dramatically improved the near-term outlook for the economy. Accelerating vaccine rollouts, increasing business activity, continued monetary policy, and substantial new doses of fiscal spending contribute to the potential for higher economic output. All these factors, however, are also increasing concerns about inflation, and rightly so. The good news is there is plenty of commentaries...

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Market Continues Its Rally As Earnings Season Starts 04-16-21

For now, we remain allocated to the market but are watching our indicators closely for a signal to start reducing exposure. When that time comes, in the next few days or next couple of weeks, we will fall back on our process.  “As discussed previously, ‘risk happens fast.’ It is essential not to react emotionally to a sell-off. Instead, fall back on your investment discipline and strategy. Importantly, keep your portfolio management process as simplistic as possible. Trim Winning...

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#WhatYouMissed On RIA This Week: 4-16-21

Print Friendly What You Missed On RIA This Week Ending 4-16-21 It’s been a long week. You probably didn’t have time to read all the headlines that scrolled past you on RIA. Don’t worry, we’ve got you covered. If you haven’t already, opt-in to get our newsletter and technical updates. Here is this week’s rundown of what you missed. RIA Advisors Can Now Manage Your 401k Plan Too many choices? Unsure of what funds to select? Need a strategy to protect your retirement plan from a...

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Inflation: Making the Complex, Simple – Part 2

Print Friendly Inflation: Making the Complex Simple Part 2 Click HERE for Part 1 of this article. Before progressing, it is worth revisiting Stoking The Embers of Inflation, a paper we wrote with Brett Freeze in 2018. At that time, the money supply was declining, and we argued, contrary to popular thinking, it might generate more inflation. In the months that followed, annual CPI rose to 2.90%, the highest level since 2012. Today, we argue a sharply rising money supply may not generate much...

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#Fundamentally Speaking: Earnings Optimism Explodes

There are few, if any, Wall Street analysts expecting a recession currently, and many are confident of a forthcoming economic growth cycle. Yet, at this time, there are few catalysts supportive of such a resurgence. Economic growth outside of China remains weak Employment growth is going to slow. There is no massive disaster currently to spur a surge in government spending and reconstruction. There isn’t another stimulus package like tax cuts to fuel a boost in corporate earnings. With the...

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Market Surges Back To Overbought As Investors Go “All In” 04-10-21

The MacroView If you need help or have questions, we are always glad to help. Just email me. See You Next Week By Lance Roberts, CIO Market & Sector Analysis Analysis & Stock Screens Exclusively For RIAPro Members Discover All You Are Missing At RIAPRO.NET This is what our RIAPRO.NET subscribers are reading right now! Risk-Free For 30-Day Trial. Sector & Market Analysis Technical Gauge Fear/Greed Positioning Gauge Sector Rotation Analysis (Risk/Reward Ranges) Stock...

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#WhatYouMissed On RIA This Week: 4-9-21

Print Friendly What You Missed On RIA This Week Ending 4-9-21 It’s been a long week. You probably didn’t have time to read all the headlines that scrolled past you on RIA. Don’t worry, we’ve got you covered. If you haven’t already, opt-in to get our newsletter and technical updates. Here is this week’s rundown of what you missed. RIA Advisors Can Now Manage Your 401k Plan Too many choices? Unsure of what funds to select? Need a strategy to protect your retirement plan from a...

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Inflation: Making the Complex, Simple – Part 1

Print Friendly Inflation: Making the Complex Simple Part 1 The quarterback signals for the Y receiver in the trips formation to shift left toward the right tackle. At the same time, the running back moves to the quarterback’s right. The slot Z receiver runs a fake jet sweep and doubles back. The left tackle and guard are ready to pull to the right, and the center will counter to the left. A safety creeps toward the line and the Sam yells to the strong-side linebacker to shadow the tight end....

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#Technically Speaking: Despite Correction, Investors Are Exuberant

Print FriendlyDespite the recent correction in the markets, leading to a hedge fund imploding, investors remain exuberant. The hopes for more stimulus, government spending, and Fed liquidity displace fears of a correction. Before we get into the technical review of the markets, I thought Jason Zweig summed up the current environment well. “This isn’t a bull market or a bear market. It’s a know-nothing market. Bragging rights used to go to those investors who worked the hardest at learning the...

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