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Tag Archives: Investing

Omicron Selloff, Is It Over Yet?

Print Friendly In this 12-03-21 issue of “Is the Omicron Selloff Over Yet?” What’s Driving The Omicron Market Sell-Off Did The Omicron Selloff Set Up The Santa Rally?Internal Measures Suggest Risk RemainsPortfolio PositioningSector & Market Analysis401k Plan ManagerFollow Us On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud, Seeking Alpha Is It Time To Get Help With Your Investing Strategy? Whether it is complete financial, insurance, and estate planning, to a risk-managed portfolio...

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S&P 500 Monthly Valuation & Analysis Review – 11-30-21

Print FriendlyS&P 500 Monthly Valuation & Analysis Review: 11-30-21 Also, read our commentary on why low rates don’t justify high valuations. J. Brett Freeze, CFA, founder of Global Technical Analysis. Each month Brett will provide you their valuable S&P 500 Valuation Chart Book. This unique analysis provides an invaluable long-term perspective of equity valuations. If you are interested in learning more about their services, please connect with them.

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Is A Stock Market Crash Like 2000 Possible?

Print Friendly Is A Stock Market Crash Like 2000 Possible? “Say say two thousand zero zero party over, oops, out of timeSo tonight I’m gonna party like it’s nineteen ninety-nine” -Prince 1999 Prince wrote the song “1999” in 1982, 18 years before the clock ran out on the 20th century and possibly the greatest stock market run in American history. In 1999, equity valuations stood at unprecedented peaks, even dwarfing those of 1929. At the time, investors were euphoric as if the rally...

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Market Correction Before The Santa Rally Has Started

Print Friendly Last week, we asked if there would be a market correction before “Santa visits Broad and Wall?” “Investors’ ‘wish lists’ are hung by the chimney with care, hopeful the ‘Santa Claus rally’ will soon be there. While they remain ‘snug in their beds, the historical data dances in the heads.’ The chart below from @themarketear shows the annual “seasonality” from 1985 through 2019.It certainly seems there is little to worry about. However, notice that dip at the beginning of...

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Could The Fed Trigger The Next “Financial Crisis”

Print Friendly Could the Fed trigger the next “financial crisis” as they begin to hike interest rates? Such is certainly a question worth asking as we look back at the Fed’s history of previous monetary actions. Such was a topic I discussed in “Investors Push Risk Bets.” To wit: “With the entirety of the financial ecosystem more heavily levered than ever, the “instability of stability” is the most significant risk. The ‘stability/instability paradox’ assumes all players are rational and...

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“Black Friday” Plunges As Covid Variant Rattles Markets

Print Friendly In this 11-26-21 issue of “Black Friday” Plunges As Market Rattled By Covid Variant “Black Friday” As Market PlungesTime To Buy OilYes, Interest Rates Will MatterPortfolio PositioningSector & Market Analysis401k Plan ManagerFollow Us On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud, Seeking Alpha Is It Time To Get Help With Your Investing Strategy? Whether it is complete financial, insurance, and estate planning, to a risk-managed portfolio management strategy to grow...

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Santa Claus Rally Is Coming, But Will Markets Correct First?

Print Friendly Investors have high hopes for the annual “Santa Claus” rally. But, could there be a correction before “Santa visits Broad and Wall?” At the moment, investors are “making their list, and checking it twice.” Sure, prices remain near all-time highs, but the Fed is remaining accommodative (at least for now.) Earnings remain very “nice,” and the market largely views “pandemic” related risks largely priced in. Yes, inflation is “naughty,” but the market seems convinced it will...

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Fed “Taper” Is Good News For The Bond Market

Print Friendly Investors are fretting over the prospect of a “Fed Taper,” but history shows such will likely be good news for the bond market. Currently, it doesn’t seem that way, with rates rising post-announcement. As noted by CNBC: “While the Fed has gone into policy retreat before, it has never pulled back from such a dramatically accommodative position. For the past eighteen months, it bought at least $120 billion of bonds each month, Such provided unprecedented support to financial...

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The “FOMO” Rises As Investors Push Risk Bets 11-19-21

Print Friendly In this 11-19-21 issue of “The FOMO Rises As Investors Push Risk Bets” Market Consolidates Gains Near HighsFOMO Is Evident As Investors Chase ReturnsThe Next Financial CrisisPortfolio PositioningSector & Market Analysis401k Plan ManagerFollow Us On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud, Seeking Alpha Is It Time To Get Help With Your Investing Strategy? Whether it is complete financial, insurance, and estate planning, to a risk-managed portfolio management...

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Rising Interest Rates Matter To The Stock Market

Print Friendly Do rising interest rates matter to the stock market? Many in the financial media and advisory community are scrambling to locate periods where rates rose along with stocks. Has it happened? Absolutely. However, it was only a function of timing until it mattered. Let’s start with the narrative. Hedge fund manager Bill Ackman is worried about the impact of rising interest rates on his portfolio: History shows Ackman’s worries about his long-only portfolio could be...

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