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Tag Archives: Futures contract

Credit Suisse “Climbs The Wall Of Worry”, Raises S&P Target To 2,500 From 2,350

Following bearish reports from Goldman (which tactically downgraded stocks to Neutral for the next three months just hours before the Fed rate hike), RBC and JPM's head quant Marko Kolanovic over the past week, overnight Credit Suisse decided to take the other side of the trade and hiked its year end forecasts for the S&P500, and pretty much every other risk asset, noting that it is happy to "climb the wall of worry", and prefers equities to bonds. The reason for the Swiss bank's...

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Silver; Long-Term bottoming pattern in play?

Below looks at Silver Futures over the past decade. The Power of the Pattern in 2011, suggested that metals should be flat to down for years to come. (See 2011 Post Here) Since that posting, Gold and Silver have continued to create a series of lower highs over the past 6-years. Silver remains more than 50% lower than 2011 prices. Could this trend be attempting to change? Could a long-term reversal pattern be in play? Below looks at Silver Futures over the past decade. CLICK ON...

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The Very Strange State Of The Market

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, Last week I reviewed Why This Market Reminds Me Of 1999: “While there is much hope the new President, and his newly minted cabinet, will “Make America Great Again,” there can be a huge difference between expectations and reality. And, like in 1999, there is just the simple realization that eventually excesses will mean revert.   But like I said, with only a 6-month holding periods, fundamentals...

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Dow Suffers Worst Week Of 2017 Amid Credit Carnage, Bond Bloodbath, & Crude Crash

To summarize - this week saw chaos in emerging market stocks, high yield credit, Treasuries, crude, copper, Chinese money markets, and risk-parity funds... and US stocks hung in there: All we can say is...   If today's payrolls print was so awesome, why did stocks and the dollar tumble and gold and bonds rally?   Small Caps suffered the worst week since September... This was The Dow's worst week of 2017 which is sad at (up 5 of the last 6 weeks), note that NASDAQ very...

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Euro Surges, Bunds Tumble On Report Draghi Considering Rate Hikes Prior To QE End

The EURUSD spiked, European stocks faded gains, and German Bund futures tumbled to session lows following B loomberg report that the ECB has discussed whether the central bank can hike rates before the end of QE. As Bloomberg further adds, ECB policy makers considered the question of whether interest rates could rise before their bond-buying program comes to an end, and notes that the central bank's Governing Council on March 9 "exchanged views on ways of communicating and sequencing an exit...

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Beware The Ides Of March

Via Lance Roberts of RealInvestmentAdvice.com, The month of March typically marks the beginning of Spring. This weekend will also mark the loss of an hour of sleep as we set our clocks forward an hour in observance of daylight savings time. As we will discuss momentarily, the month of March begins following an unseasonably warm winter period that allowed for manufacturing activity to occur during a period where inclement weather normally abounds. This is an interesting point because two years...

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Jeff Saut Asks “What Do Insider-Sellers Know That We Don’t Know?”

Via Jeff Saut of Raymond James, Andrew and I are at the 38th Annual Raymond James Institutional Investors Conference in Orlando, where there will be some 1,000 portfolio managers and approximately 300 presenting companies. We will be seeing companies’ CEOs, CFOs, COOs, etc. Interestingly, such corporate insiders sold $7.8 billion of their companies’ stock in February, which was the most in roughly six years. All of this continues to leave us in a cautionary stance despite the...

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Risk Parity Panic? Stocks, Bonds Dumped At Open

Is this the risk parity fund blow that many have been worried about? Dow drops below 21k, 30Y Yields nearing 3.10%... Something's breaking.   As a reminder, here is what Jim Bianco said over the weekend... To be clear, the stock bond relationship hasn’t changed yet. But you will know it’s happening when you see turmoil in the financial markets, especially when risk parity funds start to blow up. Risk parity funds, an investment concept pioneered by Bridgewater...

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“What Has Kept The Rally Going”: Some Thoughts From Deutsche Bank

The relentless, steady, monotonous levitation to all time highs keeps chugging along: while last week saw the S&P experience its first 1% intraday move in nearly two months, there has yet to be a comparable move on the downside. As Deutsche Bank notes, pull backs of 3-5% in the S&P 500 are typical every 2 to 3 months historically. The last such pull back occurred just prior to the US presidential election. The 4 month uninterrupted rally since is now well above average and if it...

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Need 400x Leverage? Mike Tyson Will Be Your Broker

Not The Onion...  On the week when The Dow crossed above 21,000 amid multi-year highs in retail equity inflows, none other than Mike Tyson reminded us with a tweet of how these runs always end. Launched last year, Mike Tyson's retail brokerage firm Trade12.com allows up to 400x leverage on FX, commodities and futures on stocks... and don't worry there are plenty of education tools. What could go wrong? Well judging from the 'small print' on the website - plenty......

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