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Tag Archives: economic data

Weighing the Week Ahead: What Will Biden Proposals Mean for Investors?

We have a light, holiday-shortened week ahead. There are several reports on housing, but everyone will be focused on the Inauguration and hopes for a peaceful transition of power. Anyone with skin in the game will be asking: What does a Biden Administration mean for my investments? In my last installment of WTWA, I suggested the need for substantial earnings growth to justify stock valuations. I also introduced Springtime Blossom Indicators – what we really need to monitor in our search for...

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Weighing the Week Ahead: What Can Investors Expect before Springtime?

We can enjoy two light weeks for economic reports. Both are holiday-shortened, implying lower volume but not necessarily lower volatility. Personal income and spending will be especially interesting, along with updated unemployment claims data. It is also an especially important time to monitor sentiment. The biggest reports are schedule for the first week of 2021. The calendar will prompt many to offer specific and complex forecasts for next year. Good luck with that! It is necessary for...

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Weighing the Week Ahead: What is the State of the Recovery?

We have a normal economic calendar with a focus on sentiment and inflation data. Economic reports remain secondary to Mr. Market. It has been a lights on, lights off situation with celebration of pandemic news and improvements in the Washington situation. We know much more than we did a month ago. It might not be a clear crystal ball, but it should be easier to identify key risks. It is time for investors to ask: What is the state of the economic recovery? In my last installment of WTWA,...

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Weighing the Week Ahead: The Elusive Logic of Mr. Market

We have a very light economic calendar, and the earnings season is winding down. The punditry loves these opportunities. Rather than dealing with data, the field is open for speculation! This has already begun. Even before results were known, every news source was speculating about events and the apparently strange behavior of financial markets. Craving simple and consistent explanations, pundits are on a quest, asking What is the elusive logic of Mr. Market? In my last installment of...

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Weighing the Week Ahead: What Should Happen? What Will Happen?

We have a big economic calendar, with featuring reports on sentiment, personal income and spending, and an especially interesting first estimate of Q3 GDP. The election campaign continues at high intensity and the COVID news grabs daily headlines. It is a huge week for corporate earnings, an important independent read on the economy. None of these stories will dominate, allowing investors to choose their own focus. In my continuing effort to call attention to the truly important stories, I...

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Weighing the Week Ahead: Will Strong Earnings Confirm an Economic Rebound?

We have a light economic calendar with a focus on housing. There are continuing political and pandemic stories that could dominate the news cycle at any time. For those focused on financial markets, earnings season might provide answers to important questions. We will all be asking: Will earnings signal a strong economic rebound? In my last installment of WTWA, I asked whether the President’s COVID diagnosis should cause investors to change course. There were some reader complaints that...

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Weighing the Week Ahead: What Did We Know — And When Did We Know It?

We have a huge economic calendar and the first of three scheduled Presidential debates. The employment report will be the last one before the election, so I expect it to get special attention. Most of the other important economic data will also be reported during the week. The data provide an opportunity for investors to assess what they can reasonably conclude about the state of the economy and investment prospects. We should all be asking, What do we know ……and when did we know it? In my...

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Weighing the Week Ahead: Is the Payroll Employment Report Accurate?

It is a big week for economic data. There are many reports with the most attention on Friday’s Employment Situation data.  We will also get auto sales, the ISM manufacturing and non-manufacturing indexes, construction spending, and factory orders. Weekly jobless claims continue to attract great interest and should.  The corporate earnings story hits a peak for the season. Many have been reassured by the job growth in the payroll employment report.  It is viewed as the most important by...

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Weighing the Week Ahead: Time for A Look Under the Hood of the Economic Engine

We face an important economic calendar and earnings reports from 192 companies in the S&P 500.  We will get important data on sentiment, personal income and spending, housing, employment claims, inflation, manufacturing.  The first estimate of Q2 GDP is expected to be bad, very bad. And by the way, the FOMC meets and announces a rate decision on Wednesday. The punditry will seek any hints about the state of the recovery as well as commentary about the COVID-19 impact.  Earnings...

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Weighing the Week Ahead: Don’t Look Back!

The economic calendar is modest, and many market participants will probably extend their long weekends.  The ISM Non-Manufacturing Index and jobless claims data will be the most important. Credit for today’s theme goes to Satchel Paige, one of the greatest pitchers of all time. Don’t look back; something might be gaining on you. Picture Courtesy of Simpson Street Free Press, where you will also find a nice article by Patricia Cazares, age 13. In my last installment of WTWA, I...

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