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Tag Archives: CPI

Two Very Different Monetary Cases, And Their One Common Theme

When we look back at the period known as the Great Inflation there is a tendency, I believe, to truncate the episode only to the most well-known parts. What many people remember are things like gas lines, where oil problems and embargoes left Americans at several points in the seventies too often stuck for trying fill up their autos (or just the household lawn mower). It’s very easy, then, to fall into the assumption that the Great Inflation was mostly petro issues concentrated in the...

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Weekend Reading: You Have Been Warned

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, Investors aren’t paying attention. There is an important picture that is currently developing which, if it continues, will impact earnings and ultimately the stock market. Let’s take a look at some interesting economic numbers out this past week. On Tuesday, we saw the release of the Producer Price Index (PPI) which ROSE 0.4% for the month following a similar rise of 0.4% last month. This surge in prices was NOT surprising...

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The Fed Isn’t “Confused” About Inflation… It WANTS You In the Dark!

The Fed claims it’s “confused” as to why inflation remains so low. The Fed isn’t confused at all. It intentionally measures inflation in ridiculous ways to guarantee that the “official number” remains nowhere near reality. On top of this, we have factual evidence that Fed is in fact well aware that inflation is clocking in well above its 2% "target.” Indeed, the New York Fed’s UIG inflation measure (which includes a “full data...

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Can’t Hide From The CPI

On the vital matter of missing symmetry, consumer price indices across the world keep suggesting there remains none. Recoveries were called “V” shaped for a reason. Any economy knocked down would be as intense in getting back up, normal cyclical forces creating momentum for that to (only) happen. In the context of the past three years, symmetry is still nowhere to be found. It’s confounding even central bankers who up until all this have been especially immune to contrary evidence. The...

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The Inflation of China’s Condition

One day after the China’s government reported disappointing but consistent trade figures, that country’s National Bureau of Statistics published inflation estimates that are being branded at least on this side of the Pacific as some degree of “hot.” As is usually the case, the characterization is wildly off. China is no closer now to an inflation problem, thus solid growth, than anywhere else in the world today no matter how many times a mainstream story uses the words “strong” and “robust.”...

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Senate GOP Unveils Tax Proposal: Here Are The Main Highlights

Confirming the leaks that occurred in the last hours, Senate Republicans just released their proposal for the tax bill and it is notably different from the House bill. Here are the most notable highlights (more details below): 20% permanent corporate tax cut delayed by 1 year Complies with the $1.5 trillion cost (will cost $1.44 trillion) Preserves 7 tax brackets: top tax bracket is 38.5%, down from 39.6% Doubles standard deduction from $12,700 to $24,000 (married couples) Ends state and...

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Are “Happy Days” In Credit Over? According To BofA, Just One Thing Matters

Just one month ago, we showed a chart according to which the corporate bond spreads as tracked by the BofA/ML Corporate Master Index had tumbled to a level not seen since July 2007...   ... while European high yield bonds have sunk below 2%, a head-scratching plunge in European "high" yields. As we have observed previously, the catalyst for the dramatic collapse in yields has been an obvious one: central banks, which have not only crushed asset volatility, but through the ECB's explicit...

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Stockman Exposes “The Black Swan In Plain Sight” – Debt Out The Wazoo

Authored by David Stockman via Contra Corner blog, The black swan in plain sight does emit the Donald's orangish glow, but at the end of the day its true color is actually red. That is, monumental towers of rapidly rising debt loom everywhere on the planet. For the moment, the artificial cash flow from this unsustainable borrowing spree is keeping a simulacrum of growth and prosperity alive. Yet this whole outbreak of debt...

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The Savings Rate Conundrum

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, The economy is booming. Employment is at decade lows. Unemployment claims are at the lowest levels in 40-years. The stock market is at record highs and climbing. Consumers are more confident than they have been in a decade. Wages are finally showing signs of growth. What’s not to love? I just have one question. If things are so good, then why is America’s saving rate posting such a sharp decline? The answer is not surprising....

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