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Home / Tag Archives: Bear Market

Tag Archives: Bear Market

#WhatYouMissed On RIA: Week Of 07-19-19

We know you get busy and don’t check on our website as often as you might like. Plus, with so much content being pushed out every week from the RIA Team, we thought we would send you a weekly synopsis of everything that you might have missed. The Best Of “The Lance Roberts Show” Podcast Interview Of The Week Our Best Tweets Of The Week Ultimately, the clearing process will be very substantial. With the economy requiring $3 of debt to create $1 of...

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Technically Speaking: Fed “Hopes” Spark Return Of Bullish Complacency

In this past weekend’s newsletter, I laid out the bull and bear case for the S&P 500 rising to 3300. In summary, the basic driver of the “bull market thesis” essentially boils down to Central Bank policy, as noted by the WSJ yesterday: “U.S. indices hit record highs last week on rate cut expectations. We’ve shifted from fiscal stimulus to monetary stimulus as the driver of the rally.” In other words, it is all about “rate cuts.” This reliance on the Fed has led to a marked rise in...

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#WhatYouMissed On RIA: Week Of 07-12-19

We know you get busy and don’t check on our website as often as you might like. Plus, with so much content being pushed out every week from the RIA Team, we thought we would send you a weekly synopsis of everything that you might have missed. The Best Of “The Lance Roberts Show” Podcast Interview Of The Week Our Best Tweets Of The Week The Real Fed Mandate: Avoid recession at all cost. Clearly they are scared that a normal and healthy...

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Technically Speaking: Monthly S&P 500 Chart Update & Review

With June now officially in the books, we can take a look at our long-term monthly indicators to see what they are telling us now. Does the recent breakout to “all-time highs” mean the bull market is finally back? Or, is this breakout doomed to failure as the previous breakouts have been? That’s the answer we all want to know. Each week on RIA PRO we provide an update on all of the major markets for trading purposes. (See an unlocked version here. We also do the same analysis for each S&P...

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#WhatYouMissed On RIA This Past Week: 07-05-19

We know you get busy and don’t check on our website as often as you might like. Plus, with so much content being pushed out every week from the RIA Team, we thought we would send you a weekly synopsis of everything that you might have missed. The Best Of “The Lance Roberts Show” Podcast Interview Of The Week Our Best Tweets Of The Week IF the #Fed is TRULY #independent, they are going to be very hard-pressed to #cut #rates in #July with a...

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Technically Speaking: The Bull Is Back, Bonds Say “No”

For the fifth time, since the end of 2017. the market hit an all-time high. Each previous all-time high has led an almost immediate sell-off.  Will this time be different? This was the question I asked last Tuesday: “Such is the belief currently which is being driven primarily by the ‘Pavlovian’ response of a more ‘accommodative’ Federal Reserve which is expected to cut rates sharply by the end of this year. It is also the ‘hope’ there will be a resolution to the ongoing ‘trade war’ with...

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Are Stocks In A Bear Market?

Technically, no. Spiritually?  Nor sure, but definitely, there’s is something happening here. What is ain’t exactly clear. S&P Flat For Past 17 Months Even with all the Strum und Drang since the massive volatility shock of January 2018 — which includes a technical bear market > 20 percent sell-off from September 21st to December 26th and a ripping Fed-led 26 percent rally from December 26th to May 1st  — the S&P is up only 1.52 percent.  Stunning and exhausting. It feels as...

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Technically Speaking: Bull Market Or Bull Trap?

For the fourth time, since the end of 2017. the market has set an all-time high. Each previous all-time high has led an almost immediate sell-off.  Will this time be different? Such is the belief currently which is being driven primarily by the “Pavlovian” response of a more “accommodative” Federal Reserve which is expected to cut rates sharply by the end of this year. It is also the “hope” there will be a resolution to the ongoing “trade war” with China at the G-20 Summit next week.  Nowhere...

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Technically Speaking: COT Positioning – Volatility, Oil, Dollar, & Rates

Over the last three weeks, we have discussed the “sellable rally” in the markets. However, one of the more stunning movements in the market was in interest rates which have fallen sharply in recent months as “deflation” and “economic weakness” have become points of concern for the Federal Reserve. Just last year, the Federal Reserve was hiking rates with the expectations of stronger economic growth and rising inflationary pressures from a tight labor market. Almost a year later, the markets,...

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