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Tag Archives: advice

Between A Rock & A Hard Place 08-05-16

Get Daily Updates: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud Don’t Miss Out – Register Now! 11:30am – August 17th – At Your Desk Several weeks ago, I commented on the fact that if I were Janet Yellen I would have hiked rates in July by .50 bps. Here was my reasoning at that time: “First, with the markets making new all-time highs, there is a “price” cushion available for the markets to absorb a rate hike without breaking important downside support as shown below.” Chart updated through...

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The Two Most Dangerous Months 07-29-16

For Daily Updates Follow Me On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud Since I was traveling on vacation last week, and did not write a weekly report, I want to use this opportunity to update the previous analysis and model positioning for the current environment. This is particularly important as we enter into what has historically been two of the most dangerous months of the year.  First, why do I say that? The chart below shows the historical return patterns by month for the S&P...

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Riding The Bull Market 07-16-16

For Daily Updates Follow Me On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud DID YOU MISS ONE! See Them All Here EDITOR’S NOTE:  There will be NO newsletter next week as I am traveling. However, if something critically important happens I will pen a brief note. Make sure you are registered at the website for important updates and allocation model changes. Last Tuesday, I discussed the market’s breakout to the upside and the increase in equity exposure in client’s portfolios. To wit: “From a...

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“Breakout” – Let’s Try This Again 07-09-16

For Daily Updates Follow Me On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud Register Now – Space Is Limited. DID YOU MISS ONE! See Them All Here Here we go again. Another Friday. Another attempted breakout above the 2100 level on the S&P 500. Over the last couple of months, as shown below, this has become a regular occurrence. While the market is once again extremely overbought on a weekly basis, the employment report on Friday which showed a historically abnormal surge in June jobs...

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“BRE-LIEF” – Central Banks To The Rescue 07-02-16

For Daily Updates Follow Me On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud Happy “Independence Day” Ronald Reagan once wrote: “There is a legend about the day of our nation’s birth in the little hall in Philadelphia, a day on which debate had raged for hours. The men gathered there were honorable men hard-pressed by a king who had flouted the very laws they were willing to obey. Even so, to sign the Declaration of Independence was such an irretrievable act that the walls resounded with the...

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Inconceivable! The “Brexit” Reaction 06-25-16

For Daily Updates Follow Me On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In “A Special One-Hour Webinar Covering The Markets, Investing For The Next President & The Coming Correction.”  This week’s report is going to deviate a little from the norm as I am just going to focus on the technical impact from the Brexit vote on Thursday, and the subsequent fallout on Friday. First, let’s pick up with where I left off on Tuesday: The market has repeatedly made attempts to break out above 2100. But that...

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Economy Not What It Seems 06-17-16

For Daily Updates Follow Me On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In “A Special One-Hour Webinar Covering The Markets, Investing For The Next President & The Coming Correction.”  Over the past several years, I have repeatedly discussed the ongoing detachment between the economic reports versus what was happening in the actual underlying economy. Last year, I wrote: “Currently, there is little evidence that is supportive of higher overnight lending rates. In fact, the current environment...

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Market Fails To Breakout 06-11-16

For Daily Updates Follow Me On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In “Recent Layoff, Life Change or Just Getting Ready To Retire – These 10-Questions Will Make Sure You & Your Advisor Are On The Same Page With YOUR Money.”  On Tuesday, I updated last weekend’s analysis stating: “On Monday, the market did indeed break above 2100 as suggested. That rally higher was driven by Yellen’s comments that suggested no rate hike coming in the months ahead. However, while her comments were certainly...

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Economic Data Derails The Breakout 06-03-16

For Daily Updates Follow Me On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In “Recent Layoff, Life Change or Just Getting Ready To Retire – These 10-Questions Will Make Sure You & Your Advisor Are On The Same Page.”  On Thursday, the market briefly peaked above 2100 giving the “bulls” a glimpse at all time highs. As I penned on Friday: “The good news is that this sideways pattern of market action over the last year will come to an end and likely very soon. The only question investors have to get...

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Are The Bulls Back? 05-27-16

For Daily Updates Follow Me On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In Seating Is Limited & Registration Is Almost Full “Sell In May & Go Away. Investing For A Trump Or Clinton Presidency. Interest Rates, Oil & The Dollar.”  This past week, the markets rallied sharply from last week’s lows sending the “bulls” stampeding into the market with claims the market is back. To wit: “Hold on to your hats, folks. According to Andrew Adams, a market strategist at Raymond James, there exists a...

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