Dear patient readers, Please give a big round of applause to Lambert, Jerri, and Nick for manning the site while I took some time off in Maine. The weather and seafood were great, but I was hampered by my progress with my new hips going into reverse at week 6 and my surgeon not having any suggestions as to what to do (I am getting a second opinion down here but the lead time for new patient appointments is long). So I missed out on one of my favorite activities, walking around and enjoying the ocean and nature views. The cat is back: Wild Amur tigers rebound in China, thanks to govt policies Mongabay (furzy) Living orbs of light aeon. Fireflies! Under New Zealand’s Dark Skies, Insects Recover and Humans Reconnect with a Lost View Atlas Obscura (Chuck L) Melbourne earthquake: Tremor rattles
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Lambert Strether writes 2:00PM Water Cooler 10/22/2021
Yves Smith writes Expectations Data Indicate the US Is Entering Recession About Now
Lambert Strether writes Links 10/22/2021
Dear patient readers,
Please give a big round of applause to Lambert, Jerri, and Nick for manning the site while I took some time off in Maine. The weather and seafood were great, but I was hampered by my progress with my new hips going into reverse at week 6 and my surgeon not having any suggestions as to what to do (I am getting a second opinion down here but the lead time for new patient appointments is long). So I missed out on one of my favorite activities, walking around and enjoying the ocean and nature views.
Living orbs of light aeon. Fireflies!
Under New Zealand’s Dark Skies, Insects Recover and Humans Reconnect with a Lost View Atlas Obscura (Chuck L)
Hubble Has Captured The Startling ‘Eye’ of a Massive Stellar Explosion Science Alert (David L)
Texas Offers 4 Lessons For Staying Safe In Flash Floods NPR (David L)
How proteins help yeast adapt to changing conditions eLife (UserFriendly)
More people are eating bugs, but is it ethical to farm insects for food? The Conversation (Robert M)
7 Revealing Ways AIs Fail SpectrumIEEE (David L)
Brave or reckless? Thrill-seekers’ brains can tell you New Scientist (Dr. Kevin)
The future of weight loss Works in Progress (UserFriendly)
From a few days back, doubt the situation has changed (guurst):
Alberta is on 🔥
ICUs are full. Surgeries cancelled. Triage is days away
Vax passports were too late, can’t halt infections fast enough
✈️ pts to ON/QC not a real solution. Military lack clinical capacity
We NEED a fire-breaker to stop the inferno🧯🚒 https://t.co/EKT5nlcX3M
— Ilan Schwartz MD PhD (@GermHunterMD) September 19, 2021
Asymptomatic infection is the pandemic’s dark matter PNAS (guurst). From a few days back, still germane.
Israel’s struggles to contain COVID-19 may be a warning for other nations Science (David L). Subhead: “Widespread boosters don’t dent case rate as schools, holidays foster spread.” GM points out that cases are 25% below their early September peak. So who knows?
Study of people with mild or moderate (but not hospitalised) COVID-19 from the first wave in Geneva. 7-9 months later, at least 25% had >=1 persisting symptom. Most common: fatigue (14%); loss of smell/taste (11%); headache (7%); shortness of breath (8%).https://t.co/q26SLZIYD3 pic.twitter.com/HXruPZvpmV
— Dr Zoë Hyde (@DrZoeHyde) September 21, 2021
Useful example of what happens in an contained population, in this case a prison
80% vaccination, and relatively recent too — half were 4-6 months from second dose, the rest less than that — resulted in 70% attack rate among the vaccinated (and 93% in the unvaccinated)
Attack rates in the 4-6 months groups — 89%
Moderna held the best — 40% attack rate. Pfizer at 81%, but it’s not clear if those are matched by time from second dose.
Longer NYC Commutes, Household Crowding Linked To Higher COVID-19 Rates Gothamist. The study: Urban design attributes and resilience: COVID-19 evidence from New York City Buildings and Cities (peer reviewed).
Dr. Paul Offit on Boosters and Vaccines for Children C-SPAN (Kevin C)
Covid-19 origins: Chinese study uncovers over 140 bat coronaviruses but says none linked to pandemic South China Morning Post
Ratings companies reacted slowly to the Covid-19 crisis, research shows Bloomberg. This should not be seen as news. Rating agencies generally downgrade only after Mr. Market has downgraded bonds via pricing them as if they had lower ratings.
Evergrande Borrowed From Everyone Matt Levine
US encircling China on multiple new Cold War fronts Asia Times (Kevin W)
The War Nerd: Taiwan — The Thucydides Trapper Who Cried Woof Gary Brecher, The eXiled (Anthony L). From last week, still germane.
From Politico’s European newsletter:
EU MULLS CANCELING TRANSATLANTIC SUMMIT: Brussels is taking Washington’s move to outflank France on a submarine deal seriously — and the European Commission is now considering whether to delay the EU-U.S. Trade and Tech Council (TTC), two officials told Playbook.
Top EU leader rebukes Scott Morrison during awkward New York encounter Sydney Morning Herald
UK pins hope on joining US, Mexico and Canada trade pact Financial Times. Help me. Physical proximity is the biggest determinant of trade flows.
Biden pours cold water on prospect of early US/UK trade deal Independent (Kevin W). We said repeatedly that if the UK got a fast trade deal, it would be only because the US had dictated terms (as in even more so than usual in bilateral deals with smaller countries).
The Taliban nominate a U.N. envoy, complicating a quandary for the General Assembly New York Times (Kevin W)
US, India prepare to play spoiler in Afghanistan Asia Times (Kevin W)
Big Brother is Watching You Watch
Russian hackers target Iowa farm co-op Axios (David L)
Donald Trump Sues New York Times and His Niece Mary Trump Over Tax Story Daily Beast (furzy)
Biden promises ‘relentless diplomacy’ to skeptical allies Associated Press
When It Comes to Letting Down Allies, Trumpism and Bidenism Have Much in Common CounterPunch (resilc)
Biden REFUSES to take questions from US reporters and tells Boris Johnson ‘good luck’ when he says he wants to answer ‘just a couple’ of queries from the press: White House aides then interrupt the British PM to clear journalists from Oval Office Daily Mail
Debt-Limit Suspension Passes House, Faces Standoff in Senate Wall Street Journal
Sinema Threat Followed Boost From Pharma Group Daily Poster (Chuck L)
Del Rio migrant crisis: How did so many Haitians end up at the southern US border? El Paso Times (furzy)
Who’s paying for your Uber? PhysOrg (Robert M)
Uncovering The Real History Of The Women Who Pioneered Video Games Kotaku (Kevin W)
Billionaire Leon Black accused of raping woman in Jeffrey Epstein’s mansion in 2002, according to court documents Business Insider. Kevin W: “She may be a woman now, but how old was she back in 2002?”
The Elizabeth Holmes Line Rafia Zakaria, The Baffler (Anthony L). No inhibition about taking up a new con.
Inequality is behind central bank dilemma Martin Wolf, Financial Times (David L)
Antidote du jour (Chet G):
And a bonus:
Sometimes small things can make a cat happy…..😉😊😁 pic.twitter.com/xo6hty6Oai
— Independence (@Indenpendence0) September 9, 2021
See yesterday’s Links and Antidote du Jour here.