Monday , March 1 2021
Home / Mish's Global Economic / Counting Excess Deaths, 500,000 People Have Died From Covid

Counting Excess Deaths, 500,000 People Have Died From Covid

Summary:
Carl_R3 daysThe degree of under-counting with Covid is much smaller than with the seasonal flu, mostly because the numbers are bigger, and they are working harder to be accurate. If the official count is 425,000 and the real count is 500,000, that is only an adjustment of 18%. By contrast, with the seasonal flu the adjustment is normally about 500%. Thus, if they count 8,000 deaths, they multiply it by 6, and the official count becomes 48,000. I got so tired, back in the spring, of the people who wanted to compare counted Covid numbers for 3 months, with adjusted numbers for the flu for a year. Now we have Covid numbers for nearly a year, and by the time we get to the end of flu season (end of March), Covid will be around 5-600,000 counted, or 6-700,000 adjusted. For those that wish to

Topics:
Mike Shedlock considers the following as important:

This could be interesting, too:

Mike Shedlock writes Even a 0 Billion Bribe Won’t Get Kids Back in the Classroom this School Year

Mike Shedlock writes There’s a New Twist in Biden’s Ridiculous Push For a Minimum Wage

Mike Shedlock writes Expect a Surge in Spending as Personal Income Jumps on Covid Stimulus Free Money

Mike Shedlock writes Is Anyone Else Fed Up With Dr. Fauci’s Forever Moving Goalposts?

Carl_R

The degree of under-counting with Covid is much smaller than with the seasonal flu, mostly because the numbers are bigger, and they are working harder to be accurate. If the official count is 425,000 and the real count is 500,000, that is only an adjustment of 18%. By contrast, with the seasonal flu the adjustment is normally about 500%. Thus, if they count 8,000 deaths, they multiply it by 6, and the official count becomes 48,000.

I got so tired, back in the spring, of the people who wanted to compare counted Covid numbers for 3 months, with adjusted numbers for the flu for a year. Now we have Covid numbers for nearly a year, and by the time we get to the end of flu season (end of March), Covid will be around 5-600,000 counted, or 6-700,000 adjusted. For those that wish to compare, those numbers can be compared to a typical 6,000 flu deaths counted, and 36,000 adjusted.

Mike Shedlock
Mike Shedlock (Mish) is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management (http://www.sitkapacific.com/). Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *