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Trump and First Lady Test Positive for Covid, in Quarantine

Summary:
Herkie7 hrsHe is already sick with "mild symptoms," a characterization I am skeptical of. Reminds me of September 1976 when China announced that Mao had a cold. One thing I think this does mean, Hope Hicks was veyr unlikely to be the source of infection; "...symptoms typically appear within four or five days after exposure." It has been 3 days since Hicks went with Trump on AF1. For him to already be showing symptoms last night means he is very unlikely to have been exposed after Monday. It can take up to 14 days for symptoms to appear. It is a legit question given his obesity and age (as well as probable underlying condition of dementia) whether or not his symptoms will worsen to the point that he has to go the Article 25 route, at least temporarily, or die in office. That is no

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Herkie

He is already sick with "mild symptoms," a characterization I am skeptical of. Reminds me of September 1976 when China announced that Mao had a cold.

One thing I think this does mean, Hope Hicks was veyr unlikely to be the source of infection; "...symptoms typically appear within four or five days after exposure."

It has been 3 days since Hicks went with Trump on AF1.

For him to already be showing symptoms last night means he is very unlikely to have been exposed after Monday. It can take up to 14 days for symptoms to appear.

It is a legit question given his obesity and age (as well as probable underlying condition of dementia) whether or not his symptoms will worsen to the point that he has to go the Article 25 route, at least temporarily, or die in office. That is no excuse for postponing an election in which more than a million people have already cast ballots, and so many state and local ballot issues are at stake. Even if he were to die prior to election day he could be elected or defeated posthumusly and in the case of a win Pence be sworn in or have his term end January 20, 2021 at noon, and especially if Pence is already the acting president.

The complexity of changing election dates at this point given the rancor in the partisan congress makes this pretty unthinkable.

If Biden were to have to withdraw also then it might be a different story, both sides would have reason to see a short postponement. But, it would be such a circus with the constitution still requiring electors be counted in December and other laws that limit any delay, I do not think it can be done at all. I guess if the top of the ticket were gone for both parties through death or resignation/withdrawal the contest would revert to a vote between Harris and Pence.

This is one of the reasons I was watching Biden's VP choice so closely, if you remember I thought Biden would be lucky to make it through his first term, now it is not out of the question that he could well not make it to Jan. 20. I just hope he was not infected.

Mike Shedlock
Mike Shedlock (Mish) is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management (http://www.sitkapacific.com/). Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction.

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