Saturday , October 19 2019
Home / Mish's Global Economic / Rate Cut Odds Dip Below 50% from 92% a Week Ago

Rate Cut Odds Dip Below 50% from 92% a Week Ago

Summary:
The market has given the Fed a free swing as rate cut odds dip to 47%. My how things change. A month ago there was allegedly a 10%% chance of a rate cut tomorrow with an additional 22.3% chance of a 50 basis point cut. Last week there was a 92.3% chance of a single cut. Yesterday there was a 62.3% chance of a cut. Today there is only a 47.3% chance of a cut. Tomorrow we see. Questions of the Day Rate Cut on the 18th? Did this sudden change amplify today's liquidity crisis? Rate Cut Question ​ Liquidity Crisis Question ​ For discussion, please see US Overnight Interest Rate Surges to 10%, Fed Injects Emergency Billion. Mike "Mish" Shedlock

Topics:
Mike Shedlock considers the following as important:

This could be interesting, too:

Mike Shedlock writes Johnson Has the Votes, Will Deliver Brexit Saturday

Mike Shedlock writes How Badly Overstated is Chinese and US GDP?

Mike Shedlock writes Turkey Agrees to Pause Military Operations in Syria

Mike Shedlock writes Brexit Deal at Last! Let’s Crunch the Numbers

The market has given the Fed a free swing as rate cut odds dip to 47%.

My how things change.

  • A month ago there was allegedly a 10%% chance of a rate cut tomorrow with an additional 22.3% chance of a 50 basis point cut.
  • Last week there was a 92.3% chance of a single cut.
  • Yesterday there was a 62.3% chance of a cut.
  • Today there is only a 47.3% chance of a cut.

Tomorrow we see.

Questions of the Day

  1. Rate Cut on the 18th?
  2. Did this sudden change amplify today's liquidity crisis?

Rate Cut Question

Liquidity Crisis Question

For discussion, please see US Overnight Interest Rate Surges to 10%, Fed Injects Emergency $75 Billion.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock

Mike Shedlock
Mike Shedlock (Mish) is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management (http://www.sitkapacific.com/). Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *