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31/7/19: Canary in the Treasuries mine

Summary:
Judging by U.S. Treasuries, things are getting pretty ugly in the economy: The gap between long-dated bond yields and short-dated paper yields has accurately predicted/led the last three recessions (the latter are marked by red averages in the chart).

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Judging by U.S. Treasuries, things are getting pretty ugly in the economy:

31/7/19: Canary in the Treasuries mine

The gap between long-dated bond yields and short-dated paper yields has accurately predicted/led the last three recessions (the latter are marked by red averages in the chart).

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