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The author Lance Roberts
Lance Roberts
Lance Roberts has sharpened that lens with 30 years in the investing world from private banking and investment management to private and venture capital. Lance Roberts’ perspective and common sense analysis is sought after by media outlets such as Fox 26 News in Houston, CNBC, CNN and Fox Business News along with numerous publications including the Wall Street Journal, USA Today, Reuters and the Washington Post. Roberts is the Editor of the X-Factor report and publishes the blog Daily X-change.

Lance Roberts Real Investment Advice

Stocks Rally As Fed Teases Taper

Print Friendly Stocks rally nearly 1% higher yesterday despite a surprisingly hawkish tone from Fed Chair Jerome Powell teasing taper. Next on the horizon for the bulls is the 50-day moving average at 4435. With taper looming on the horizon will the moving average act as resistance? If overnight trading is any indication we may answer that question this morning. The NASDAQ is leading the way, up .75% this morning with the S&P and Dow closely behind. S&P 500 futures are less than...

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The Market is Deeply Oversold And Looking For A “Dovish” Fed

Print Friendly As we will discuss, the market is deeply oversold and looking for a “dovish” Fed to spark buying. Traders and investors will be laser-focused on the Fed meeting adjourning at 2 pm ET. Of importance, the decision on taper and their characterization of the economic recovery and inflation. If they do elect to announce a taper schedule, the pace of tapering and any caveats that may delay tapering will be of utmost importance. Like yesterday markets are opening up a half to one...

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When Will “Transitory Inflation” Overstay Its Welcome?

Print Friendly There has been much talk of “transitory inflation”, but the evidence is starting to suggest the term may overstay its welcome. The Fed chose the word “transitory” to describe this instance of rising prices because of its imprecision. Transitory can denote hours, months, or decades. Using transitory versus a specific period provides the Fed freedom to be wrong but be grammatically correct. While the Fed uses ambiguous words, Mr. Market may have more defined expectations....

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Stocks Bounce Off Hard Off The Lows Reclaiming Losses.

Print Friendly Yesterday, stocks bounced hard off the lows reclaiming a chunk of earlier losses. But, as we will discuss, the 100-dma held firm as the stocks look to be trying to replay the March sell-off. This morning, futures are pointing sharply higher, suggesting the bulls are still roaming. The benefit of the doubt remains with the bulls, which have repeatedly saved the market after minor losses. Will they come to the rescue again, or do we have to sweat out the 200dma (4105)?...

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Viking Analytics: Weekly Gamma Band Update 9/20/2021

Print Friendly We share the Weekly Gamma Bands Update by Viking Analytics. The report uses options gamma to help you better manage risk and your equity allocations. Gamma Band Update The S&P 500 (SPX) closed last week below the gamma flip level and with a negative slope, which resulted in a daily model allocation to 30% SPX (along with 70% cash).  Following the key quarterly option expiration week, there is less of a re-hedging upward current, so this morning’s weakness is not...

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Evergrande- Why Most Analysis Is Dead In The Water

Print Friendly Evergrande- Why Most Analysis Is Dead In The Water There is a lot more to the failure of China’s Evergrande company than meets the eye. For the last year, China has been taking steps to curb speculation and promote economic productivity. At $16 billion, (China’s GDP) is no longer that far from that of the U.S. ($22 billion) and nearly three times Japan, the world’s third-largest economy. What China does and how they do it matters a lot, not just to China but for the...

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Expecting “Stimulus?” Household Credit Explodes Higher.

Print Friendly In the second quarter, household credit exploded higher as stimulus payments ran dry. Was the surge a function of excess spending, inflation, or an expectation of more “stimmies” coming? The chart below shows the total amount of household credit currently. If you stare very hard, you can make out the slight dip in credit usage during the “pandemic-driven shutdown.” However, such is not the case despite the narrative households paid down a bulk of their debt. However,...

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Markets Set To Drop As Fed “Taper” Approaches

Print Friendly Markets are set to drop this morning as the Fed “taper” announcement approaches. Market bulls spent the better part of Friday trying to hold 50-dma but failed. At the time of this writing, futures are down sharply point to steep losses at the open. The sell off isn’t a surprise, as we have noted previously, given the more extreme length of time without a correction of 5% of more. September is historically a weak month, and there has been a steady drumbeat of corporate...

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Investors Fail To “BTFD” As They Await Fed “Taper.” 09-17-21

Print Friendly In this 09-17-21 issue of “‘Investors Fail To BTFD As They Await Fed Taper.“ Investors Fail To BTFDThe Slope Of HopeA Reason The Fed Can’t Taper…YetPortfolio PositioningSector & Market Analysis401k Plan ManagerFollow Us On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud, Seeking Alpha Is It Time To Get Help With Your Investing Strategy? Whether it is complete financial, insurance, and estate planning, to a risk-managed portfolio management strategy to grow and protect...

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