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The author Lance Roberts
Lance Roberts
Lance Roberts has sharpened that lens with 30 years in the investing world from private banking and investment management to private and venture capital. Lance Roberts’ perspective and common sense analysis is sought after by media outlets such as Fox 26 News in Houston, CNBC, CNN and Fox Business News along with numerous publications including the Wall Street Journal, USA Today, Reuters and the Washington Post. Roberts is the Editor of the X-Factor report and publishes the blog Daily X-change.

Lance Roberts Real Investment Advice

#MacroView: Powell Changes The Rules On QE.

The markets took a tumble to start this week as rising interest rates and inflationary pressures begin to weigh on outlooks. Those worries quickly diminished as Jerome Powell changed the rules to reassure Wall Street that “QE” is here to stay. In his speech, he committed to reaching maximum employment and the “average” inflation rate. To wit: “I’m confident that we can, and that we will, and we are committed, to using our tools to achieving that. The three-year time frame is actually...

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#WhatYouMissed On RIA This Week: 2-26-21

What You Missed On RIA This Week Ending 2-26-21 It’s been a long week. You probably didn’t have time to read all the headlines that scrolled past you on RIA. Don’t worry, we’ve got you covered. If you haven’t already, opt-in to get our newsletter and technical updates. Here is this week’s rundown of what you missed. RIA Advisors Can Now Manage Your 401k Plan Too many choices? Unsure of what funds to select? Need a strategy to protect your retirement plan from a market...

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Outliers: Four Ways They Can Change Our Lives (Part 1)

Outliers can change our lives. The pesky outposts of statistical warriors are situated at the far reaches of normality.  When they breach boundaries, lives change, sometimes forever. Why do we keep focusing on the minutiae, not the possible significant large events, in spite of the obvious evidence of their huge influence? Nassim Taleb, The Black Swan. Yes, the outliers. Consider them unwanted houseguests, the nascent Fredo Corleones of the statistical world. Their impacts are minimized by...

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Will “Go Crazy” Drive The Bear Out Of Hibernation?

Will “Go Crazy” Drive The Bear Out Of Hibernation? The economy will “go crazy” this summer.” There is not a day that goes by in which we do not hear an economic forecast with an extreme optimism based on pent-up demand. The argument certainly appears plausible and is widely subscribed to by professionals. To wit, JP Morgan: “we expect consumers to blowout expectations for the rest of the year.” Per Business Insider: “Goldman Sachs raised its forecast for 2021 US gross-domestic-product growth...

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Technically Speaking: Blowing Up The “Everything Bubble”

Recently, I discussed the “Two Pins That Pop The Bubble,” specifically noting the risk of rising interest rates and inflation. However, the real threat is not just the stock market bubble’s deflation but rather blowing up the “everything bubble.” During previous periods in financial history, the focus was primarily on the deflation of a singular market bubble. Such was a point we touched on in “Extraordinary Popular Delusions:” The two tables below show the history of bubbles and what they...

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Money Flow Signals Weaken | Three Minutes on Markets & Money [2/22/21]

(2/22/21) Back from the Texas Deep Freeze! Money Flows Sell-signal now in place; close to lining up with MACD Sell-signal as well; important to watch interest rates--the rate of change over period of time will be most impactful. - RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our...

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BROADWAY’S CALLING ~ REFLECTIONS Part 1 ~ Hosted by Lance Roberts

Lance's co-hosts ( @juliegarnye and @andreaboyer) hijack the show and put Lance in the HOT SEAT and find out HIS Broadway's Calling story. He celebrates the 94th birthday of Sidney Poitier, the influence of seeing Melba Moore and Cleavon Little on magazine covers for Purlie, and spills some insight about auditioning, being the first African American cast in Broadway's Finding Neverland and how Peewee Herman is responsible for him finally getting to Broadway and allowing him to be in a...

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The Only Reason To Be “Bearish” Is “No One Is Bearish”

I had to do a double-take recently when reading a CNBC headline that stated: “The only reason to be bearish is there’s no reason to be bearish.” It is indeed hard to argue the point. As the article explained: “A majority of investors finally agree the V-shaped recovery is at play,” according to the Bank of America Global Fund Manager Survey. Plus, a record percentage of money managers believe that global growth is at an all-time high.” Key Findings More than 90% of investors believe...

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Will The Economy Replace Ten Million Jobs By 2022?

“Employment will bounce back to pre-pandemic levels by December 31st, 2021.” – Bank of America Popular forecasts call for a return to pre-pandemic levels of employment and economic activity by yearend. Really? We are not so sure.  The economy lost over 22M jobs between February 2020 and today. The recovery has gained 12M jobs leaving a deficit of 10.7M jobs to replace. This post evaluates trends in employment, hiring, and worker job concerns to determine if this robust forecast to gain...

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