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The author Lance Roberts
Lance Roberts
Lance Roberts has sharpened that lens with 30 years in the investing world from private banking and investment management to private and venture capital. Lance Roberts’ perspective and common sense analysis is sought after by media outlets such as Fox 26 News in Houston, CNBC, CNN and Fox Business News along with numerous publications including the Wall Street Journal, USA Today, Reuters and the Washington Post. Roberts is the Editor of the X-Factor report and publishes the blog Daily X-change.

Lance Roberts Real Investment Advice

#WhatYouMissed On RIA: Week Of 11-11-19

We know you get busy and don’t check on our website as often as you might like. Plus, with so much content being pushed out every week from the RIA Team, we thought we would send you a weekly synopsis of everything that you might have missed. The Week In Blogs The Best Of “The Lance Roberts Show” Video Of The Week Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently scolded Congress for continuing to spend money it doesn’t have, and as RIA Advisors Chief Investment...

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$250 Trillion In Global Debt: How Can That Be Paid Back

Global debt just topped $250 trillion. Please ponder paying the interest on that, let alone the principal. Global Debt $250 Trillion and Rising Please note that Global debt surged to a record $250 trillion in the first half of 2019, led by the US and China. What about Global GDP? Global GDP Global GDP Numbers from the World Bank. To get a $1 rise in GDP it takes about a $3 rise in debt. Things keep pointing back to 1971. I have written about the importance of 1971...

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Powell’s Fantasy: The Economy Should Grow Faster Than Debt

In recent testimony to Congress’s Joint Economic Committee, Jerome Powell stated: “The debt is growing faster than the economy — that’s unsustainable. It’s not the Fed’s job to say how the government should cut the deficit, but we need to get the economy to grow faster than the debt. Otherwise, future generations will be paying more of their taxes to cover the government’s debt costs than for other things like health care, etc. I think the new normal now is low interest rates, low inflation...

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Absurdity Spewed From Market Peaks

A recent article by James Deporre at thestreet.com asked Will Powell’s Remarks Push the Algos to Make a Move? Deporre’s article is a recap of a day’s market events beginning with Jerome Powell’s recent testimony to Congress. He suggests that what matters are not Powell’s words, but whether computerized trading programs, known as “algos,” would buy stocks as a result of Powell’s testimony. Summarizing what ended up being an uneventful day of trading activity, Deporre made the following...

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Mauldin: China’s Grand Plan To Take Over The World

When the US and ultimately the rest of the Western world began to engage China, resulting in China finally being allowed into the World Trade Organization in the early 2000s, no one really expected the outcomes we see today. There is no simple disengagement path, given the scope of economic and legal entanglements. This isn’t a “trade” we can simply walk away from. But it is also one that, if allowed to continue in its current form, could lead to a loss of personal freedom for Western...

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Seth Levine: Why Are We So Scared

I always find this time of year to be self-reflective. Year-end provides a natural point for critiquing past performance and fitting it into a broader investing context. These holidays in particular have a way of foisting this perspective upon me, and with deep meaning. As a parent of two young kids, my holidays now kick off with Halloween. Perhaps stuck in this spirit, I find myself wondering: Why are we so scared? I can’t seem to shake this sense that we live in a culture that’s scared. I...

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Technically Speaking: COT Positioning – Volatility, Oil, Dollar, & Rates (Q3-2019)

As discussed in the past weekend’s newsletter, we have been laying out the basis for a market correction. What has been most stunning is the rapid reversion in sentiment from “bearishness” this summer, to outright excess “bullishness” in just a few short weeks.  “But it isn’t just the more extreme advance of the market over the past 5-weeks which has us a bit concerned in the short-term, but a series of other indications which typically suggest short- to intermediate-terms corrections in...

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Which Secular Bull Market Is It – 1950’s or 1920’s?

The following comment was recently making its way around the “twittersphere” suggesting a “new secular bull market” has started. 10. Some longer term perspective on the S&P500 vs the US 10yr Bond Yield. h/t @jfahmy $SPX $TNX pic.twitter.com/Q7ezYTFWyS — Callum Thomas (@Callum_Thomas) November 9, 2019 This isn’t the first time such a call has been made.  “Despite concerns in the third quarter, bears never had a strong argument for why stocks were overvalued and the major indexes simply...

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Too Fast, Too Furious – Hedging For A Short-Term Correction 11-15-19

The “QE, Not QE” Rally Is ON Too Fast, Too Furious Why We Are Hedging New: Financial Planning Corner Sector & Market Analysis 401k Plan Manager Follow Us On: Twitter, Facebook, Linked-In, Sound Cloud, Seeking Alpha The “QE, Not QE” Rally Is On Last week, we discussed the “QE, Not QE” rally: “Just recently, we released a study for our RIAPro Subscribers (30-Day Free Trial) on historical QE programs and what sectors,  markets, and commodities perform best. (If you subscribe for a 30-day...

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#WhatYouMissed On RIA: Week Of 11-11-19

We know you get busy and don’t check on our website as often as you might like. Plus, with so much content being pushed out every week from the RIA Team, we thought we would send you a weekly synopsis of everything that you might have missed. The Week In Blogs The Best Of “The Lance Roberts Show” Video Of The Week Interview with Pedro Da Costa from the Economic Policy Institute on the Fed, monetary policy, and the “Greatest Economy Ever.” [embedded...

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