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Personal Income and Outlays, November 2021

Summary:
Personal income increased .4 billion (0.4 percent) in November according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (tables 3 and 5). Disposable personal income (DPI) increased .4 billion (0.4 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased 4.7 billion (0.6 percent). Real DPI decreased 0.2 percent in November and Real PCE increased less than 0.1 percent; spending on services increased 0.5 percent and spending on goods decreased 0.8 percent (tables 5 and 7). The PCE price index increased 0.6 percent. Excluding food and energy, the PCE price index increased 0.5 percent (table 9).   2021 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Percent change from preceding month Personal income:        Current dollars 1.2 0.3 -1.0 0.5

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Personal income increased $90.4 billion (0.4 percent) in November according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (tables 3 and 5). Disposable personal income (DPI) increased $70.4 billion (0.4 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $104.7 billion (0.6 percent).

Real DPI decreased 0.2 percent in November and Real PCE increased less than 0.1 percent; spending on services increased 0.5 percent and spending on goods decreased 0.8 percent (tables 5 and 7). The PCE price index increased 0.6 percent. Excluding food and energy, the PCE price index increased 0.5 percent (table 9).

  2021
July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov.
Percent change from preceding month
Personal income:  
     Current dollars 1.2 0.3 -1.0 0.5 0.4
Disposable personal income:  
     Current dollars 1.2 0.3 -1.3 0.4 0.4
     Chained (2012) dollars 0.8 -0.1 -1.6 -0.3 -0.2
Personal consumption expenditures (PCE):  
     Current dollars 0.1 1.1 0.6 1.4 0.6
     Chained (2012) dollars -0.3 0.7 0.3 0.7 0.0
Price indexes:  
     PCE 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.7 0.6
     PCE, excluding food and energy 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.5
Price indexes: Percent change from month one year ago
     PCE 4.2 4.2 4.4 5.1 5.7
     PCE, excluding food and energy 3.6 3.6 3.7 4.2 4.7

COVID-19 Impact on November 2021 Personal Income and Outlays

The estimate for November personal income and outlays reflected the continued economic recovery and government response to the COVID-19 pandemic. Government social benefits increased in November, reflecting an increase in the Provider Relief Fund (extended by the American Rescue Plan) that was partly offset by declines in many other pandemic-assistance programs. The full economic effects of the COVID-19 pandemic cannot be quantified in the personal income and outlays estimate because the impacts are generally embedded in source data and cannot be separately identified. For more information, see Effects of Selected Federal Pandemic Response Programs on Personal Income.

The increase in personal income in November primarily reflected increases in compensation of employees and government social benefits (table 3). Within compensation, the increase reflected increases in both private and government wages and salaries. Within government social benefits, an increase in "other" benefits (notably, an increase in the Provider Relief Fund to health care nonprofits) was partly offset by a decrease in unemployment insurance.

The $104.7 billion increase in current-dollar PCE in November reflected an increase of $97.4 billion in spending for services and a $7.4 billion increase in spending for goods (table 3). The increase in services was widespread, led by housing and utilities. Within goods, an increase in nondurable goods (mainly gasoline and other energy goods) was partly offset by a decrease in durable goods (led by recreational goods and vehicles as well as motor vehicles and parts). Detailed information on monthly PCE spending can be found on Table 2.3.5U.

Personal outlays increased $106.3 billion in November (table 3). Personal saving was $1.25 trillion in November and the personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income—was 6.9 percent (table 1).

The PCE price index for November increased 5.7 percent from one year ago, reflecting increases in both goods and services (table 11). Energy prices increased 34.0 percent while food prices increased 5.6 percent. Excluding food and energy, the PCE price index for November increased 4.7 percent from one year ago.

Updates to Personal Income and Outlays

Estimates have been updated for July through October. Revised and previously published changes from the preceding month for current-dollar personal income, and for current-dollar and chained (2012) dollar DPI and PCE, are provided below.

  Change from preceding month
September October
Previous Revised Previous Revised Previous Revised Previous Revised
(Billions of dollars) (Percent) (Billions of dollars) (Percent)
Personal income:  
     Current dollars -203.7 -205.3 -1.0 -1.0 93.4 93.2 0.5 0.5
Disposable personal income:  
     Current dollars -232.4 -233.6 -1.3 -1.3 63.0 63.3 0.3 0.4
     Chained (2012) dollars -254.4 -254.3 -1.6 -1.6 -43.5 -50.3 -0.3 -0.3
Personal consumption expenditures:  
     Current dollars 100.6 97.8 0.6 0.6 214.3 229.7 1.3 1.4
     Chained (2012) dollars 38.0 36.5 0.3 0.3 96.0 102.5 0.7 0.7

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Next release: January 28, 2022 at 8:30 A.M. EST
Personal Income and Outlays, December 2021

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Personal Income and Outlays
Release Dates for 2022
Estimate Release Date

December 2021

January 28, 2022

January 2022

February 25, 2022

February 2022

March 31, 2022

March 2022

April 29, 2022

April 2022

May 27, 2022

May 2022

June 30, 2022

June 2022

July 29, 2022

July 2022

August 26, 2022

August 2022

September 30, 2022

September 2022

October 28, 2022

October 2022

December 1, 2022

November 2022

December 23, 2022

Bureau of Economic Analysis
The BEA Advisory Committee advises the Director of BEA on matters related to the development and improvement of BEA’s national, regional, industry, and international economic accounts, especially in areas of new and rapidly growing economic activities arising from innovative and advancing technologies, and provides recommendations from the perspectives of the economics profession, business, and government.

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